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First Look: December 21

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Business in the private prison industry is drying up. A new case looking at growth options for Corrections Corporation of America begins with the fact that the company's profits are under attack as its largest customers—federal and state governments—are under pressure to reduce incarceration rates and lower operating costs. The case, written by Rafael Di Tella and Laura Winig, asks: Should CCA follow its competitors' footsteps and expand overseas? Or could it count on an ever-increasing population of US prisoners to fuel continued growth?

In a forthcoming Negotiation Journal article, James K. Sebenius questions what can be learned by analyzing "great negotiations" through history. Quite a lot, he suggests, including the finding of complex realities and subtleties that might have gotten lost in analytic models. Another journal article, this one in Organization Science, looks at why managers send the same message to the same recipient sequentially using various communication methods, such as e-mail and face-to-face. "Given how busy most managers are, and how much information their subordinates receive on a daily basis, this practice seems, initially, quite puzzling." But the answers are quite interesting. The article is based on the work described in this working paper written by Paul M. Leonardi, Tsedal B. Neeley, and Elizabeth M. Gerber.

— Sean Slverthorne

Publications

Has the Shift to Stronger Intellectual Property Rights Promoted Technology Transfer, FDI, and Industrial Development?

Authors:Lee Branstetter, C. Fritz Foley, and Kamal Saggi
Publication:The WIPO Journal: Analysis and Debate of Intellectual Property Issues (forthcoming)
Abstract

This article reviews recent research conducted by the authors that finds that intellectual property rights reform increases technology transfers, foreign direct investment inflows, and industrial development. It also places the findings of this work in the broader context of the literature.

Download the paper: http://www.people.hbs.edu/ffoley/BFSWIPO.pdf

Luck or Cheating? A Field Experiment on Honesty with Children

Authors:Alessandro Bucciol and Marco Piovesan
Publication:Journal of Economic Psychology (forthcoming)
Abstract

We run an experiment to study the relationship between honesty, age, and self-control. We focus on children aged between 5 and 15 as the literature suggests that self-control develops within such age range. We ask each child to toss a fair coin in private and to record the outcome (white or black) on a paper sheet. We only reward children who report white. Although we are unable to tell whether each child was honest or not, we speculate about the proportion of reported white outcomes. Children report the prize-winning outcome at rates statistically above 50% but below 100%. Moreover, the probability of cheating is uniform across groups based on the child's characteristics, in particular age. In a second treatment we explicitly tell children not to cheat. This request has a dampening effect on their tendency to over-report the prize-winning outcome, especially in girls. Furthermore, while this effect in boys is constant with age, in girls it tends to decrease with age.

Temptation and Productivity: A Field Experiment with Children

Authors:Alessandro Bucciol, Daniel Houser, and Marco Piovesan
Publication:Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (forthcoming)
Abstract

Substantial evidence from psychology suggests that resisting temptation (exercising self-control) in one domain subsequently reduces one's capacity to regulate behavior in other domains. One reason is that people have limited self-regulatory resources, and self-regulatory failure occurs when these resources become overwhelmed. This paper provides evidence that this same mechanism can lead to reduced economic productivity subsequent to exposure to temptation. Using a design inspired by the classic "Marshmallow Test," we report data from a field experiment in which children between the ages of 6 and 13 were exposed (or not) to a consumption temptation. We use these ages to take advantage of the well-established fact that the self-regulatory resources of younger children are more easily depleted than those of older children. We find that, subsequent to exposure to temptation, productivity of younger children is significantly detrimentally impacted, while that of older children remains essentially unchanged. To our knowledge, this is the first rigorous demonstration that one need not succumb to temptation in order for it to detrimentally impact one's economic productivity.

The Dynamics of Social Structure: The Emergence and Decline of Small Worlds

Authors:Ranjay Gulati, Maxim Sytch, and Adam Tatarynowicz
Publication:Organization Science (forthcoming)
Abstract

This paper explores the interplay between social structure and economic action by examining some of the evolutionary dynamics of an emergent network that coalesces into a small-world system. The study highlights the small-world system's evolutionary dynamics at both the macro level of the network and the micro level of an individual actor. This dual analytical lens helps establish that, in competitive and information-intensive settings, a small-world system could be a highly dynamic structure that follows an inverted U-shaped evolutionary pattern, wherein an increase in the small-worldliness of the system is followed by its later decline as a result of three factors: (1) the recursive relationship between the evolving social structure and individual actors' formation of bridging ties, which eventually homogenizes the information space and decreases actors' propensity to form bridging ties, creating a globally separated network; (2) self-containment of the small-world network, or increasing homogenization of the social system, which makes the small world less accepting of and less attractive to new actors, thereby limiting formation of bridging ties to outside clusters; and (3) fragmentation of the small-world network, or the small-world system's inability to retain current clusters. The study uses data on interorganizational tie formation in the global computer industry in the period from 1996 to 2005 to test the hypothesized relationships.

How Managers Use Multiple Media: Discrepant Events, Power and Timing in Redundant Communication

Authors:P.M. Leonardi, T.B. Neeley, and E.M. Gerber
Publication:Organization Science (forthcoming)
Abstract

Several recent studies have found that managers engage in redundant communication; that is, they send the same message to the same recipient through two or more unique media sequentially. Given how busy most managers are, and how much information their subordinates receive on a daily basis, this practice seems, initially, quite puzzling. We conducted an ethnographic investigation to examine the nature of events that compelled managers to engage in redundant communication. Our study of the communication patterns of project managers in six companies across three industries indicates that redundant communication is a response to unexpected endogenous or exogenous threats to meeting work goals. Managers employed two distinct forms of redundant communication to mobilize team members toward mitigating potentially threatening discrepant events—unforeseen disruptive occurrences during the regular course of work. Managers with positional power over team members reactively followed up on a single communication when their attempt to communicate the existence of a threatening discrepant event failed, and they determined that a second communication was needed to enable its joint interpretation and to gain buy-in. In contrast, managers without positional power over team members proactively used redundant communication to enroll team members in the interpretation process—leading team members to believe that they had come up with the idea that completion of their project was under threat—and then to solidify those interpretations. Moreover, findings indicate that managers used different types of technologies for these sequential pairings based on whether their motivation was simply to transmit a communication of threat or to persuade people that a threat existed. We discuss the implications of these findings for theory about, and the practice of, technologically mediated communication, power, and interpretation in organizations.

Zwischen Familienerbe und globalem Markt. Eigentum und Management von groβen westdeutschen Familienunternehmen im Wandel (1960-2008). (Between Family Heritage and Global Market. Changes in Ownership and Management of Large West German Family Firms (1960-2008)."

Author:Christina Lubinski
Publication:Zeitschrift für Unternehmensgeschichte 55, no. 2 (2010)
Abstract

Large family firms fall between two theoretical accounts. They neither follow the development path described by Alfred D. Chandler nor do they resemble small- and medium-sized Mittelstand firms, which Gary Herrigel highlighted as a successful alternative. That is why so far there has been little research about them beyond individual case studies. This article focuses on large family firms in Germany during the second half of the twentieth century. Based on a regionally focused sample of 310 businesses, the article offers insights into their ownership and management in 1960 and asks how the firms developed until 2008. The majority of large family firms had surprisingly homogenous characteristics, such as concentrated long-term family ownership, few shareholders, and family management. This structure was successful within the historical context of the 1960s but came under attack during the crisis-ridden decades that followed. By tracing these changes, the paper simultaneously shows that the theoretical dichotomy of family and managerial firms is misleading. Instead of interpreting the family firm as a static organization, the focus should shift to the family influence, which evolves with time and with the evolution of business's macroeconomic and political environments.

Active Experimentation: Enabling Reliability, Validity, and Knowledge Spill-ins through Inferential Learning Activities

Authors:James Oldroyd and Ranjay Gulati
Publication:Strategic Entrepreneurship Journal (forthcoming)
Abstract

This exploratory study examines the role of intraorganizational knowledge spill-ins in the process of inferential learning. Drawing on the notions of knowledge reliability (the creation of shared meanings) and validity (understandings of cause and effect), we explore how organizations learn inferentially in dynamic environments, where active experimentation rather than past experience is the underlying basis for learning. We find that intraorganizational knowledge spill-ins transfer heuristics crafted by one unit under local conditions of reliability and validity to other units, where they are reinterpreted and repurposed. Intraorganizational knowledge spill-ins emerge as a mechanism through which reliability and validity are enhanced for organizational learning

Race at the Top: How Companies Shape the Inclusion of African Americans on Their Boards in Response to Institutional Pressures

Authors:Clayton S. Rose and William T. Bielby
Publication:Social Science Research (forthcoming)
Abstract

Drawing on institutionalist theory, we conceptualize the racial composition of the boards of directors of large American companies as shaped in response to social and political norms. We use new longitudinal and cross-sectional data to test hypotheses about factors that shape the degree of racial inclusion on boards of directors among large public corporations, and we draw upon in-depth interviews with key participants to gain insights into the mechanisms that are likely to have generated the patterns we detect in our statistical models. We find evidence suggesting that large American corporations manage the racial composition of their elite leadership groups in response to these norms.

What Can We Learn from 'Great Negotiations'?

Author:James K. Sebenius
Publication:Negotiation Journal (forthcoming)
Abstract

What can one legitimately learn—analytically and/or prescriptively—from detailed historical case studies of "great negotiations," chosen more for their salience than their analytic characteristics or comparability? Taking a number of such cases compiled by Stanton (2010) as a point of departure, this article explores this question, highlighting the limits of such historical accounts but observing that they can (1) bring to light complex realities and subtleties that parsimonious analytic models may neglect; (2) suggest overlooked, non-obvious aspects of the process that merit deeper, more systematic study, especially where they appear to contradict received theory; and/or (3) reinforce the findings of more systematic investigations, giving greater confidence in their validity. Learning from such accounts calls for a "Bayesian" mindset, in which a given case study, of the kind produced by Stanton, constitutes a multidimensional observation to be compared and combined with substantial "prior" knowledge and reliable bodies of research.

Vietnam Competitiveness Report 2010

Authors:Christian Ketels, Nguyen Dinh Cung, Nguyen Thi Tue Anh, and Do Hong Hanh
Publication:Central Institute for Economic Management/Asia Competitiveness Institute, Hanoi/Singapore, December 2010
Abstract

The 2010 Vietnam Competitiveness Report contains a broad assessment of Vietnam's current competitiveness, an analysis of the key challenges and opportunities ahead, and a proposal for an economic strategy to enable Vietnam to reach a higher level of sustainable growth. The Report has been developed by Vietnam's Central Institute for Economic Management and the Singapore-based Asia Competitiveness Institute upon the request of Deputy Prime Minister Hoang Trung Hai.

View the report: http://www.isc.hbs.edu/pdf/Vietnam_Competitiveness_Report_2010_Eng.pdf

Working Papers

Inside the Learning Curve: Customer-, Domain-, and Technology-Specific Learning in Outsourced Radiological Services

Authors:Jonathan R. Clark, Robert S. Huckman, and Bradley R. Staats
Abstract

We explore the specificity of volume-based learning in an outsourced setting. When producing a unit of output, the content of the knowledge gained can vary dramatically from one unit to the next. This suggests that while aggregate experience in learning-by-doing is generally valuable, not all prior experience has an equal impact on performance. To examine these differences we introduce a framework to unpack the multiple dimensions of experience that exist within one unit of work. We then empirically examine the customer-, domain-, and technology—specificity of learning. Our empirical setting is the context of outsourced radiological services where individual doctors at an outsourcing firm complete radiological reads for hospital customers. We find that customer-, domain-, and technology-specific experience—as compared to other experience-leads to improved productivity. We discuss the implications of our results for the study of learning and experience, as well as for outsourcers and the firms that use their services.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-057.pdf

A Note on Fairness and Redistribution

Authors:Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra
Abstract

We note some problems in Alesina and Angeletos (2005) and suggest a way to maintain the key insight of that paper, which is that a demand for fairness could lead to different economic systems such as those observed in France versus the U.S. (multiple equilibria).

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-059.pdf

A Brief Postwar History of U.S. Consumer Finance

Authors:Andrea Ryan, Gunnar Trumbull, and Peter Tufano
Abstract

This article describes the consumer finance sector in the U.S. since World War II. We first define the sector in terms of the functions delivered by firms (payments, savings/investing, borrowing, managing risk, and providing advice). We provide time series evidence on major trends in consumption, savings, and borrowing. Examining consumer decisions, changes in regulation, and business practices, we identify four major themes that characterize the sector: (1) innovation that increased the choices available to consumers; (2) enhanced access in the form of broadening consumer participation in financial activities; (3) do-it-yourself consumer finance, which allowed and forced consumers to take greater responsibility for their own financial lives; and (4) the resultant increase in household risk taking.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-058.pdf

Cases & Course Materials

Red Lobster

David E. Bell and Jason Riis
Harvard Business School Case 511-052

Red Lobster, a 40-year-old chain of seafood restaurants, has just completed some market research revealing an opportunity to shift its target customer segment. The chain is in the final stages of a 10-year plan of rejuvenation under CEO Kim Lopdrup. When he took over as CEO in 2004 the chain was closing restaurants and suffering declining same-store sales and declining customer satisfaction. But in 2010, even in a recession, the fortunes of the chain are improving. A recently commissioned market research study has revealed, unexpectedly, that 25% of Red Lobster's customers are "experientials," people coming for a "good evening out" rather than Red Lobster's traditional core customer who came because of a craving for seafood. Should this news cause Lopdrup to do anything differently?

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511052-PDF-ENG

Hôpital de Pontoise

Richard Bohmer, Daniela Beyersdorfer, and Simon Harrow
Harvard Business School Case 610-100

In 2010, Andre Razafindranaly, managing director of a large French public hospital, considers which organizational structure will help them adjust to the changing health sector environment. The move from global budget to activity-based funding has led his and many other public hospitals to suffer losses in recent years. Appointed two years previously, Razafindranaly introduced increasing financial control and encouraged organizational changes such as multidisciplinary wards differentiated by patients' lengths of stay. To what extent should he (and can he) reinforce these measures, which have increased efficiency and reduced the deficit but also generated push-back from his doctors and staff?

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http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/610100-PDF-ENG

The Market for Prisoners: Business, Crime, and Punishment in the 'American Dream'

Rafael Di Tella and Laura Winig
Harvard Business School Case 710-042

In 2010, Corrections Corporation of America (CCA), the largest private prison operator in the U.S., was considering expansion options. The company's largest customers, federal and state governments, were under economic pressure to reduce the incarceration rate and lower operating costs, potentially jeopardizing CCA's profits. Should CCA follow its competitor's footsteps and expand overseas? Or could it count on an ever-increasing population of U.S. prisoners to fuel continued growth?

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/710042-PDF-ENG

Dow's Bid for Rohm and Haas

Benjamin C. Esty and David Lane
Harvard Business School Case 211-020

This case analyzes Dow Chemical Company's proposed acquisition of Rohm and Haas in 2008. The $18.8 billion acquisition was part of Dow's strategic transformation from a slow-growth, low-margin, and cyclical producer of basic chemicals into a higher-growth, higher-margin, and more stable producer of performance chemicals. Simultaneously, Dow had signed a joint venture agreement with Petrochemical Industries Company (PIC) of Kuwait, a deal that would generate $7 billion in cash that could be used to finance the all-cash offer to buy Rohm and Haas. Dow and Rohm announced the Rohm merger on July 10, 2008, just before the financial crisis in September 2008. The focus of the case is on what happened after the financial crisis turned into a global economic crisis. Dow, like all chemical producers, suffered as the global economy fell into recession during the second half of 2008 and as financial markets froze. To make matters worse, PIC cancelled the joint venture with Dow in December 2008. As a result, Dow was hurt on three fronts: first, it lost an important funding source for the proposed acquisition; second, Dow's financial condition and internal cash flow deteriorated dramatically (its stock price was down more than 70% during 2008); and third, Rohm's forecast sales, earnings, and value declined precipitously thereby reducing its attractiveness as an acquisition target. Given this confluence of events, Dow sued to cancel the merger agreement with Rohm in January 2009. Rohm responded with its own lawsuit to force consummation of the deal. As of February 2009, Dow's board of directors and its CEO Andrew Liveris have to decide what to do first and foremost about the Rohm acquisition and the pending lawsuits, but also about the firm's declining financial performance and the PIC joint venture.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/211020-PDF-ENG

Rupert Murdoch: The Last Tycoon

Geoffrey G. Jones and Hari Balkrishna
Harvard Business School Case 811-017

The case examines the entrepreneurial career of Rupert Murdoch and the growth of News Corporation from a small Australian newspaper to a global media giant. It shows how he expanded geographically to Europe, the United States, and Asia and from newspapers to the film and television industries. The case identifies the personal role of Murdoch in this growth and the role of his family in its management. The case considers the political impact of News Corporation's newspapers and other media and their alleged role in shaping political opinion.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/811017-PDF-ENG

Hony, CIFA, and Zoomlion: Creating Value and Strategic Choices in a Dynamic Market

Josh Lerner and Yiwen Jin
Harvard Business School Case 811-032

The private equity group Hony Capital considers what to do with their investment in Zoomlion, which has been successful to date. The question is whether to take their money off the table or to invest in their acquisition of a large Italian competitor.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/811032-PDF-ENG

AdMob (A)

Mikołaj Jan Piskorski, Samuel Cohen Mobily-Guitta, and Nithya Vaduganathan
Harvard Business School Case 711-406

AdMob's CEO is deciding between international expansion and increasing the number of publishers to strengthen the company's advantage in the mobile advertising industry. AdMob displayed advertising on global devices, powered 6,000 websites and 1,000 applications, and served over 6 billion advertising impressions a month to 25 million unique visitors. AdMob's success attracted numerous competitors, such as Millennial Media and Quattro Wireless, both of which were expanding quickly and had raised considerable capital. The company now needs to allocate its limited resources wisely to position it for long-term success.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/711406-PDF-ENG

Purchase this supplement (B):
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/711407-PDF-ENG

Mid-Missouri Energy: Ethanol from Corn

Forest Reinhardt, Noel Michele Holbrook, James Weber, and Karla Sartor
Harvard Business School Case 711-004

Mid-Missouri Energy (MME) is a farmer-owned cooperative that produces ethanol from corn. The cooperative has performed well in comparison to other producers, but margins in the industry had declined as industry production levels neared market demand limits. MME farmers needed to decide whether to take advantage of their success and expand through acquisitions, whether they should sell the plant, or whether they should continue current operations. MME must consider ongoing regulatory changes that impacted the industry, the possible impact of imported ethanol, the power of the petroleum industry that bought its product, and ongoing uncertainty about corn and ethanol price swings.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/711004-PDF-ENG

Reverse Engineering, Learning, and Innovation

Willy Shih
Harvard Business School Note 611-039

This background reading looks at reverse engineering in the context of piracy and knock-offs in emerging markets like China. It first considers legal aspects of reverse engineering in strong property rights regimes like the United States as a way of unpacking the legal issues. It considers the importance of tacit or unexposed knowledge, and whether modularizing a system facilitates the recovery of design intent. Finally we look at the role of reverse engineering in the development of capabilities and how it enhances a firm's absorptive capabilities. It is intended to be used as a background reading for the case "From Imitation to Innovation: Zongshen Industrial Group," HBS No. 610-057.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/611039-PDF-ENG


HBS Faculty on 2010's Biggest Business Developments

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Published:December 27, 2010
Author:Staff

From the problems posed by the Great Recession to the devastation in Haiti and the Gulf of Mexico, from the continuing economic growth of India and China to a cascade of entrepreneurial ventures, the year 2010 offered a wide assortment of accomplishments and disappointments. We asked three Harvard Business School professors—former Medtronic chairman and CEO Bill George, economist and entrepreneurship expert Bill Sahlman, and innovation and strategy authority Rosabeth Moss Kanter—to offer their thoughts on some of the year's most significant developments in the world of business and economics.

Bill George, Professor of Management Practice

Social networking is the most significant business development of 2010, topping the resurgence of the U.S. automobile industry. During the year social networking morphed from a personal communications tool for young people into a new vehicle that business leaders are using to transform communications with their employees and customers, as it shifts from one-way transmission of information to two-way interaction. That's one reason Time magazine just named Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg Person of the Year.

A year ago many people poked fun at Facebook as a place where kids shared their latest party news. Today more than 600 million users worldwide are active on the site. The most rapidly growing demographic is people over forty. More than 300 million people spend at least one hour a day on Facebook. Approximately two hundred million people are active on Twitter in spite of—or because of—its 140-character limitation. Another 100 million use LinkedIn. None of these social networks even existed at the beginning of the decade.

Leaders like IBM's Sam Palmisano, PepsiCo's Indra Nooyi, Apple's Steve Jobs, Microsoft's Steve Ballmer, Carlson's Marilyn Nelson, and Harvard Business School Dean Nitin Nohria are all active social network users. Why? Because these social networks are a unique way of broadly communicating real-time messages to the audiences they want to reach. They can write a message anywhere, anytime, and share it with interested parties without any public relations meddling, speech writers, airplane travel, canned videos, or voicemail messages. Now their words are much more authentic and can be remarkably empowering.

Social networking is also flattening organizations by distributing access to information. Everyone is equal on the social network. No hierarchies need get involved.

The biggest threat presented by social networks is to middle managers, who may become obsolete when layers of managers are no longer needed to convey messages up and down the organization. The key to success in the social networking era is to empower the people who do the actual work—designing products, manufacturing them, creating marketing innovations, or selling services—to step up and lead without a hierarchy.

Consumer marketing companies are lining up to use these networks to reach their tailored demographics with highly personalized messages. Already they are revolutionizing marketing by shifting dollars from purchased media advertisements to building their own outlets and content. Kraft Foods, for example, is now one of the largest publishers of food-related materials. IBM is launching thought leadership communities. PepsiCo uses social networks to reach millions of social entrepreneurs in lieu of advertising at the Super Bowl. From a leadership perspective, social networking is making authentic leadership a reality and a necessity for 21st century leaders. You can't hide on your social network when you're revealing who you are and what you really believe. Transparency is essential here.

Even more important, this new phenomenon is enabling business leaders to regain the trust and credibility they have lost over the last ten years. That's why social networking is the most important business development of the year.

William A. Sahlman, Dimitri V. D'Arbeloff-MBA Class of 1955 Professor of Business Administration

From where I sit as an economist, it's still all about the economy and the long-term impact of the problems laid bare by the Great Recession. During the financial crisis, the world came to the apparently shocking realization that debt financing entails risks. Financial institutions, households, and governments all suffered because they had too much leverage.

Though the corporate sector has generally decreased leverage, the same is not true of government, particularly in the United States. Every company and household here and abroad will ultimately be affected by the unabated and accelerating gap between government revenues and spending.

There is a great deal of confusion in the popular media about the level of the current budget deficit and outstanding debt. To illustrate, most press reports peg the current U.S. deficit at $1.5 trillion, roughly 10% of gross domestic product (GDP). Gross public debt is $14 trillion, or over 95% of GDP. Most observers believe that the government will run a sustained deficit for the next decade that could add over $10 trillion to outstanding federal debt.

But closer inspection of government data reveals that these figures grossly understate both the current deficit and level of debt. Consider, for example, that the estimated net present value of obligations under the Social Security system is approximately $8 trillion. As the ratio of retired people receiving benefits to working people paying into the system increases, there will be an ever-increasing deficit confronting the government.

Even more problematic is the fact the Medicare system has a vested unfunded net liability of approximately $38 trillion. Once again, the inexorable shift in demographics, combined with high and increasing healthcare costs, will result in a widening gap between tax intake and payment outflow for Medicare.

On another front, the government is also on the hook for insuring bank deposits (including money market funds at the peak of the crisis), pension liabilities, and a wide range of other loans and liabilities. The total value of explicit loan guarantees is well over $10 trillion.

In total, the estimated liabilities of the federal government are in the range of $70 trillion, over five times annual GDP. By implication, the annual deficit is equal to the reported deficit plus the change in the vested, unfunded liabilities incurred in that year (e.g., the change in the Medicare liability) plus the implicit net cost of the annual guarantee for various liabilities. Therefore, the current deficit is more like $4.5 trillion than $1.5 trillion, while the total net revenue for the government was only $2.2 trillion in fiscal 2009. Washington, we have a problem.

This kind of leverage is unsustainable. Though some will argue that higher taxes are required, the reality is that the total amount collected each year in personal and corporate taxes (excluding social security and Medicare taxes) is only a bit over $1 trillion. Spending must be cut.

The recent report of The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform suggested a number of options for addressing the challenges posed by excessive government leverage. This report, and several others prepared by other objective bodies, must become part of our collective dialogue about the future of the country. Every business leader and every citizen has a responsibility to understand and help address these issues. Otherwise, as some scenarios in Europe have already made clear, the United States will ultimately suffer the same fate as all countries that spend way beyond their means.

Rosabeth Moss Kanter, Ernest L. Arbuckle Professor of Business Administration

In many ways the biggest business developments of 2010 were the things that didn't happen. Big companies with cash didn't spend it. Banks with cash didn't lend it. Small businesses didn't attract capital and thus didn't help reduce unemployment. Europeans were paralyzed by debt crises and transportation shutdowns caused by volcanic ash and disgruntled workers. Americans were paralyzed by fear of a Chinese takeover of the world. Google didn't exactly leave China or prevail in the face-off over government-banned content. The BP oil spill debacle in the U.S. Gulf region didn't destroy the company, didn't stop offshore oil drilling for very long, and didn't produce the political will to push for alternative energy sources.

Yet even in the midst of gridlock in Washington, economic anxiety around the world, and government liquidity crises in Europe, technology marched on, seemingly impervious to global events. Technology companies with the capabilities and courage to innovate were bright spots and signals of important trends for the future.

One enormous continuing development is the exponential growth of social networking media and the increasing use of social media by companies to crowdsource ideas, mount contests to award prizes and gather audiences, and attempt to create dialogues with customers. The year 2010 accelerated the trend toward the use of social networking sites for an increasing number of commercial purposes and gave social networking companies the confidence to remain independent rather than be acquired by existing players (witness upstart Groupon's recent rejection of Google's $6 billion offer, for instance).

And for what it symbolizes, let me add the launch of the Apple iPad in April. This device quickly gained a 95% share of the tablet computer market and a big share of the public mind.

But the iPad represented more than just an extremely successful product launch. It also signified important technological directions that are reshaping other industries. The iPad extends and accelerates the webification of life whereby devices can connect to the "cloud" and provide functions on a mobile, as-needed basis. There is no more need to embed them in the guts of a stationary device. This makes an enormous amount of computing power available to individuals and small businesses and continues the importance of apps that can be accessed directly. The existence of the iPad extends and accelerates the trend toward digital content such as e-books and downloadable newspapers and magazines.

While uncertainty continues to cause wary businesses to wait before investing, innovation and entrepreneurship are invoked by leaders as the one sure way out of economic distress.

The Psychological Costs of Pay-for-Performance: Implications for Strategic Compensation

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Published:December 28, 2010
Paper Released:December 2010
Authors:Ian Larkin, Lamar Pierce, and and Francesca Gino

Executive Summary:

In studying pay-for-performance-based compensation systems, economic scholars often adhere to agency theory, which hypothesizes that firms should prominently use performance-based compensation-it alleviates the problems of employee "shirking" and ensures highly skilled employees' desire to work for the company. However, firms use performance-based pay far less frequently than agency theory predicts. This paper posits that the psychological costs of pay-for-performance systems often dominate their benefits to firms, and proposes an integrated theory of strategic compensation that takes into account the economic and psychological benefits and costs of pay-for-performance. Research was conducted by Harvard Business School professors Francesca Gino and Ian Larkin, and Lamar Pierce of Washington University. Key concepts include:

  • Three psychological factors most prominently influence compensation strategy: social comparison processes, overconfidence, and loss aversion on the part of employees. Social comparison processes imply that employees care not only about their own pay but also about the pay of relevant others. If employees are overconfident about their abilities, which is often the case, they may become unmotivated or even engage in sabotage if they perceive unfair pay gaps between their and others' pay.
  • Loss-averse employees are more motivated by potential failure to meet sometimes arbitrary levels of desired pay than they are by potential gains. This phenomenon implies that employees may work less hard than firms desire even if paid for performance. In response to these psychological factors, firms rely on flat salaries or "scale-based" systems where the pay-for-performance relationship is much less prominent than predicted by agency theory.

Abstract

An organization's compensation strategy plays a critical role in motivating workers and attracting high-performing employees. Most of the research linking compensation to strategy relies on the principal-agent model of economics, a model that has been largely unsuccessful in predicting the extent to which companies use performance-based pay. We argue that while agency theory provides a useful framework to analyze strategic compensation, it fails to consider a host of psychological factors that affect employee motivation and attraction. This paper examines how psychological costs from social comparison, overconfidence, and loss aversion reduce the viability of individual performance-based compensation systems and provides a framework that integrates insights from psychology and decision research into the traditional compensation framework of agency theory. The paper also discusses empirical implications and possible theoretical extensions.

Paper Information

Most Popular Articles of 2010

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Published:January 3, 2011
Author:Staff

Judging by the most-read articles and faculty working papers over the last year, our readers continue to be fascinated by the emergence of social networks and their potential impacts on business and management. Another developing area of interest is in the realm of managing teams, especially those dispersed around the globe.

But the one theme that has attracted the most HBS Working Knowledge readers over our 11-year history is how to improve personal leadership skills. A third of the articles on this page relate to improving work performance by learning to make better decisions, becoming a more effective negotiator, and motivating great work from others.

Here are the Top 10 articles and Top 10 working papers that appeared in HBS Working Knowledge in 2010. Now turn your attention to 2011 and tell us in the Comment section what you believe will be the top business management trends of 2011. Enjoy, and have a great new year!

TOP 10 MOST POPULAR ARTICLES OF 2010

  1. Power Posing: Fake It Until You Make It
    Nervous about an upcoming presentation or job interview? Holding one's body in "high-power" poses for short time periods can summon an extra surge of power and sense of well-being when it's needed, according to Harvard Business School professor Amy J.C. Cuddy.
  2. Introverts: The Best Leaders for Proactive Employees
    Think effective leadership requires gregariousness and charisma? Think again. Introverts actually can be better leaders than extraverts, especially when their employees are naturally proactive, according to Harvard Business School professor Francesca Gino.
  3. What Is the Future of MBA Education?
    Why get an MBA degree? Transformations in business and society make this question increasingly urgent for executives, business school deans, students, faculty, and the public. In a new book, Rethinking the MBA: Business Education at a Crossroads, Harvard Business School's Srikant M. Datar, David A. Garvin, and Patrick G. Cullen suggest opportunities for innovation.
  4. Understanding Users of Social Networks
    Many business leaders are mystified about how to reach potential customers on social networks such as Facebook. Professor Mikolaj Jan Piskorski provides a fresh look into the interpersonal dynamics of these sites and offers guidance for approaching these tantalizing markets
  5. The 'Luxury Prime': How Luxury Changes People
    What effect does luxury have on human cognition and decision making? According to new research, there seems to be a link between luxury and self interest, an insight that may help curb corporate excesses. Roy Y.J. Chua of Harvard Business School discusses findings from his work conducted with /Xi Zou of London Business School.
  6. Sharpening Your Skills: Successful Negotiation
    Can you out-negotiate Wal-Mart? Can women overcome gender stereotypes to win equitable pay? Recent research from Harvard Business School looks at important factors to consider before sitting down at the bargaining table.
  7. HBS Cases: iPads, Kindles, and the Close of a Chapter in Book Publishing
    Book publishing is changing before our very eyes, even if the industry itself is fighting the transition with every comma it can muster. Harvard Business School professor Peter Olson, former CEO of Random House, wonders if books themselves may be in jeopardy.
  8. What's the Best Way to Make Careful Decisions?
    Summing up reader responses, Professor Jim Heskett finds compelling arguments for a process involving intuition based on analysis and experience. Should people also make their own decision-making process more transparent to others and to themselves?
  9. The Outside-In Approach to Customer Service
    Is your enterprise resilient or rigid? In this Q&A, HBS professor Ranjay Gulati, an expert on leadership, strategy, and organizational issues in firms, describes how companies can evolve through four levels to become more customer-centric.
  10. What Top Scholars Say about Leadership
    As a subject of scholarly inquiry, leadership-and who leaders are, what makes them tick, how they affect others-has been neglected for decades. The Handbook of Leadership Theory and Practice, edited by Harvard Business School's Nitin Nohria and Rakesh Khurana, brings together some of the best minds on this important subject.

TOP 10 MOST POPULAR WORKING PAPERS OF 2010

  1. The Devil Wears Prada? Effects of Exposure to Luxury Goods on Cognition and Decision Making
    What psychological consequences do luxury goods have on people? In this paper, authors Roy Y.J. Chua and Xi Zou argue that luxury goods can activate the concept of self-interest and affect subsequent cognition.
  2. Speaking Up Constructively: Managerial Practices that Elicit Solutions from Front-line Employees
    How can front-line workers be encouraged to speak up when they know how to improve an organization's operation processes? In this paper, HBS doctoral student Julia Adler-Milstein, Harvard School of Public Health professor Sara Singer, and HBS professor Michael W. Toffel examine this question in a hospital setting.
  3. Conceptual Foundations of the Balanced Scorecard
    This article documents the precursors of the Balanced Scorecard (BSC) strategic performance management tool and describes the evolution of the BSC since its introduction in 1992 in the Harvard Business Review. HBS professor Robert S. Kaplan, who created the concept and tool with David Norton, explains the roots and motivation for their original article as well as subsequent innovations that connect it to a larger management literature.
  4. The Limits of Nonprofit Impact: A Contingency Framework for Measuring Social Performance
    Over the past 20 years, there has been an explosion in methodologies and tools for assessing social performance and impact, but with little systematic analysis and comparison across these approaches. In this paper, HBS professors Alnoor Ebrahim and V. Kasturi Rangan provide a synthesis of the current debates and, in so doing, offer a typology and contingency framework for measuring social performance.
  5. The Many Faces of Nonprofit Accountability
    The challenge for nonprofit leadership and management is to prioritize among many competing accountability demands. This involves deciding both to whom and for what they owe accountability. HBS professor Alnoor Ebrahim provides an overview of the current debates on nonprofit accountability, while also examining the tradeoffs inherent in a range of accountability mechanisms.
  6. Goals Gone Wild: The Systematic Side Effects of Over-Prescribing Goal Setting
    Advocates of goal setting argue that for goals to be successful, they should be specific and challenging, and countless studies find that specific, challenging goals motivate performance far better than "do your best" exhortations. Authors Lisa D. Ordóñez, Maurice E. Schweitzer, Adam D. Galinsky, and Max H. Bazerman argue that it is often these same characteristics of goals that cause them to "go wild."
  7. From Strategy to Business Models and to Tactics
    Drivers such as globalization, deregulation, and technological change are profoundly changing the competitive game. Scholars and practitioners agree that the fastest-growing firms in this new environment appear to have taken advantage of these structural changes to compete "differently" and innovate in their business models. HBS professor Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Joan Enric Ricart present an integrative framework to distinguish and relate the concepts of business model, strategy, and tactics.
  8. The Consequences of Entrepreneurial Finance: A Regression Discontinuity Analysis
    What difference do angel investors make for the success and growth of new ventures? William R. Kerr and Josh Lerner of HBS and Antoinette Schoar of MIT provide fresh evidence to address this crucial question in entrepreneurial finance, quantifying the positive impact that angel investors make to the companies they fund.
  9. Do Friends Influence Purchases in a Social Network?
    If friends influence the purchases of a user in a social network, it could potentially be a significant source of revenue for sites such as Facebook and their corporate sponsors. Using a unique data set from Cyworld, this study by Raghuram Iyengar, Sangman Han, and Sunil Gupta empirically assesses if friends indeed influence purchases. The answer: It depends.
  10. The End of Chimerica
    For the better part of the past decade, the world economy has been dominated by a unique geoeconomic constellation that the authors call "Chimerica": a world economic order that combined Chinese export-led development with U.S. overconsumption. In this paper, economic historians Niall Ferguson of HBS and Moritz Schularick of Freie Universität Berlin consider the problem of global imbalances and try to set events in a longer-term perspective.

The Learning Effects of Monitoring

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Published:January 4, 2011
Paper Released:November 2010
Authors:Dennis Campbell, Marc Epstein, and and Francisco de Asis Martinez-Jerez

Executive Summary:

It's a challenge that all good managers face: How do you strike the right balance between encouraging autonomy among your employees and mitigating the risk that they'll make bad decisions? Using both field and quantitative data from the MGM-Mirage Group, this paper discusses how management controls affect the learning rates of lower-level employees. Research, focusing on hotel casino hosts, was conducted by Dennis Campbell and Francisco de Asís Martinez-Jerez of Harvard Business School and Marc Epstein of Rice University. Key concepts include:

  • Tightly monitored employees were less likely to make independent decisions, even if their job descriptions allowed them to do so. They were even less likely to adjust their decisions to account for information they could easily show to their superiors to justify those decisions.
  • The lower frequency of experimentation in their decision-making leaves employees in tightly monitored environments with few opportunities to learn. The researchers question whether employees in these micromanaged environments made up for the lack of experimentation by paying more attention to and learning more from each experiment.
  • The researchers found strong learning effects among employees in settings where they were monitored by their bosses somewhat loosely. In settings where they were more tightly monitored, employees learned very little.

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between monitoring, decision making, and learning among lower-level employees. We exploit a field-research setting in which business units vary in the "tightness" with which they monitor employee decisions. We find that tighter monitoring gives rise to implicit incentives in the form of sharp increases in employee termination linked to "excessive" use of decision rights. Consistent with these implicit incentives, we find that employees in tightly monitored business units are less likely than their loosely monitored counterparts to (1) use decision rights and (2) adjust for local information, including historical performance data, in their decisions. These decision-making patterns are associated with large and systematic differences in learning rates across business units. Learning is concentrated in business units with "loose monitoring" and entirely absent in those with "tight monitoring." The results are consistent with an experimentation hypothesis in which tight monitoring of decisions leads to more control but less learning.

Paper Information

Funding Unpredictability Around Stem-Cell Research Inflicts Heavy Cost on Scientific Progress

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Published:January 5, 2011
Author:William Sahlman

In light of the latest developments of the on-again, off-again, on-again government funding of human embryonic stem-cell research, it is time to consider the devastating implications of this chaotic funding environment. And to do that, one needs to understand how a modern research lab operates.

A typical lab has 20 to 40 people, led by a senior researcher (the "principal investigator''). Most people in a lab are doctoral or postdoctoral students who are pursuing careers in science.

Labs have many different projects under investigation simultaneously. Most labs have annual budgets of $1 million to $5 million, with most of that money coming from grants from institutions like the National Institutes of Health (NIH).

The NIH allocates money to researchers whose proposals are reviewed by a panel of scientists knowledgeable in the field. A typical grant proposal is 25 single-spaced pages and takes months to prepare. The NIH responds in approximately nine months.

Because the demand for money exceeds the supply, only 20 percent of the proposals get NIH funding. A researcher receiving his or her first major NIH grant is over 40 years old, on average.

Lab leaders spend a great deal of their energy recruiting the right people for their lab, nurturing a portfolio of interesting projects, and raising money. Most principal investigators, even the most successful ones in the world, spend at least 25 percent of their time trying to get money. If they can't get money, they lay off people and cancel projects.

Now imagine you are a postdoc in a lab and are working on a project to use human embryonic stem cells to cure diabetes by creating new beta cells in the pancreas.

This is difficult work that is high risk but high reward. You have come to grips with the many ethical considerations in working with stem cells derived from embryos that were created during IVF procedures and were destined to be destroyed before the donors agreed they could be used for research. You have begun to get traction in your career, and have been a prominent coauthor on several articles in well-respected journals.

When you read the news that your research is now illegal, you are horrified. You are back at square one. Years of research are potentially wasted.

You have no viable research projects under way. It will take well over a year to begin a new research stream, and there is a low probability you will get funded in a new area. You may be fired. In short, your career is in danger of total meltdown.

That is the real cost of our randomized model of research support in the United States, in which a change in administration or a court ruling can outlaw work that was previously supported by the government. Funding can be canceled with the stroke of a pen.

Great people abandon promising projects

The projects are less important than the people, particularly people who have invested years in developing their careers and selecting an area on which to focus their research. People need predictability--not in the research ideas they pursue, but in basic human issues such as pay and employment.

It may be possible to restart projects with private funds, but that is by no means certain. Raising philanthropic dollars can be as hard and time-consuming as raising money from the NIH. And these projects will have to be set up with duplicate equipment in geographically separate areas to avoid using government-funded facilities.

Sadly, great people will abandon promising projects. Great people will leave basic research and move to more predictable pastures. And some great young people will decide not to go into research careers at all. The precipitous shift in the legal and regulatory environment for human embryonic stem-cell work will have adverse implications for years to come.

Unpredictability inflicts a heavy cost on scientific progress, whether in domains like stem-cell research or in searching for safe alternative fuels. It damages the United States' competitive position because great projects won't be completed here, and more importantly, great people won't do the kind of work that is necessary to make progress on our most intractable challenges.

Society pays a high price for randomization of research support--a fact that, sadly, is not recognized by the public, the media, or politicians.

This article appeared in the Boston Globe on September 19, 2010. Reprinted with permission.

Can Management Fight "Anonymous" and WikiLeaks?

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Published:January 6, 2011
Author:James L. Heskett

You've heard the advice that writing down sensitive things runs the risk of discovery in a legal case. The wise don't do it. But this can be a costly practice, given our faulty memories. And in the age of WikiLeaks and the Internet, when every "secret" seemingly becomes public before long, the new advice is to avoid trying to keep information secret.

Recently we were reminded about the insecurity of information stored and processed on Internet-based systems, a series of online reprisals against the Swedish government, Amazon, the Dutch police, Sarah Palin, MasterCard, Joe Lieberman, PayPal, and Visa. The connection? Individuals and organizations speaking out against and refusing service to WikiLeaks. The attacker and the cause? A crowd (I don't know what else to call it, since it is not an organized group) that calls itself Anonymous and that was spawned by ideas exchanged on an Internet message board, 4chan, in defense of Internet freedom. The weapon? According to the Financial Times, "Anonymous encouraged 'hactivists' to download a simple tool-known as the 'low orbit ion cannon'-that allows their computers to be used to inundate the targeted website with requests and bring it down."

What has happened to Internet security, you might ask? Apparently it still exists to some degree for one third of the organizations that have taken precautions to protect themselves. It works, too, for individuals who are careful about changing passwords regularly (so that, if you're like me, you can't even remember your own password from time to time). But user names, passwords, and Internet addresses have been pilfered from sites like Gawker, reportedly giving the hackers access to planned web site changes and advertising strategy.

So the possibilities of damage are endless, ranging from random (at least not formally organized) theft by amateur hackers, organized theft by criminals, and efforts by international terrorists to target and shut down, or threaten to shut down, everything from bank accounts to nuclear processing facilities.

There has been an immediate call for risk management plans in those business and governmental organizations that don't already have them. But let's assume that such plans only deter the amateurs and criminals for fleeting periods of time and that in fact it becomes impossible to hide or otherwise keep information confidential.

What implications does this have for the management of a medium- to large-size organization that has become wedded to the economies and convenience of the Internet? For example, assuming that email even exists five years from now, will we be able to use it for business purposes? Will large data files have to be "disconnected" from networks so that their security can be preserved, with the attendant loss of connectivity with other files? Will the ultimate irony occur that the Internet becomes essentially useless to managers for strategic and other important matters?

What, if anything, can or should be done to combat Internet theft and terrorism? How will Anonymous and friends affect management in the future? What do you think?

Reference:

Tim Bradshaw, "Anonymous cyberwarriers stun experts," Financial Times, December 12, 2010, p. 3.

Is Groupon Good for Retailers?

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Published:January 10, 2011
Author:Carmen Nobel

At first blush, the two-year-old online start-up Groupon seems a bit audacious.

For starters, there's the news that the deal-of-the-day website turned down a $6 billion acquisition offer from Google last month.

Then there's the company's business model: selling discount vouchers to restaurants, spas, paintball parties, etc., at a major markdown—up to 90 percent off a retailer's usual prices—and then requiring the retailer to pay a big chunk of the voucher revenues back to Groupon.

But the Chicago-based firm is "the fastest growing company in web history," according to Forbes, and may file for an initial public offering by the end of 2011, according to the New York Times. "Groupon has attracted remarkable interest," says Harvard Business School professor Benjamin G. Edelman. "With the economy lagging, consumers are increasingly responsive to discounts. And Groupon has found a way to feature small businesses that haven't traditionally advertised online."

For consumers, there's an obvious appeal to scoring a $50 meal for 15 bucks—especially in a recession. But for retailers offering the deals through Groupon, does the publicity compensate for the deep hit to profit margins? A new working paper, To Groupon or Not to Groupon: The Profitability of Deep Discounts, sets out to help small businesses decide whether offering large discount vouchers is a profitable decision.

HBS Working Knowledge recently discussed the topic with Edelman, who cowrote the paper with Harvard graduate students Sonia Jaffe (Department of Economics) and Scott Duke Kominers (Harvard Business School).

Carmen Nobel: How can a discount voucher service like Groupon benefit retailers?

Ben Edelman: Our paper looks at two distinct benefits a discount voucher service can offer. First, discount vouchers can provide price discrimination, letting merchants reach customers who value the merchant less than the merchant's ordinary customers do. For instance, some customers are willing to pay full price for a given restaurant—great! The restaurant would like to keep charging those customers full price, while charging a lower price to new customers who aren't willing to pay as much but who are still willing to pay something above the restaurant's costs.

Second, vouchers can provide an advertising benefit—announcing a merchant's existence to thousands of consumers en masse, and potentially building buzz among consumers above and beyond sales to the consumers who actually buy the vouchers. This effect is more difficult to measure, but many merchants perceive it to be real. Where it exists, it's an important source of value that a discount voucher service can deliver.

Q: Explain the theoretical model you describe in your paper and how it can help retailers decide whether a voucher service like Groupon makes sense for them.

A: We present a model of online discount vouchers that [offer deals] to consumers who may or may not value the merchant's offering. Importantly, some consumers already know and patronize the merchant, so a voucher discount combines multiple effects—it attracts new customers but it may also offer an unnecessary discount to existing customers.

We then extend the model to consider both the possibility of merchants raising their prices in anticipation of offering discounts and the possibility of consumers buying multiple discount vouchers.

By demonstrating the importance of these factors, and exploring the relationship between these factors, we hope to help retailers predict whether a discount voucher promotion is likely to be profitable for them. Our approach can also help retailers design discounts that better serve their objectives.

Q: You recommend that retailers disallow the purchase of multiple discount vouchers from a single customer, or else run the risk that the customer will never come back and pay full price. Are there some practical steps that merchants can take to prevent multiple purchases?

A: In practice, it's not easy to prohibit the purchase of multiple vouchers. A voucher service can configure its systems so that a single account only lets a user purchase a given offer once. But then users can open multiple accounts—a tactic that consumers have already used at many online retailers. And industry norms let consumers find ways around almost any rule intended to block multiple purchases. For example, even when consumers are limited to a single voucher, they are typically permitted to buy additional vouchers as gifts for others. So if three customers each want three vouchers, each can buy one for himself and one for each of his two friends, complying with the rules but obtaining multiple vouchers.

Q: What are some of the other risks that businesses run when deciding to participate in a discount voucher program like Groupon? What steps can they take to mitigate those risks?

A: Stories abound of consumers who try to game the system. Consider a customer who wants to dine on a weekend using a voucher valid on weekdays only. Some consumers surely make that error by accident, failing to read all the terms and conditions. Sophisticated consumers might try to game the system by posing as customers who failed to read the "small print." What exactly is a merchant to do when a consumer violates one of various small-print rules? Requiring customers to present vouchers before ordering is one solution, but they understandably dislike this approach, finding it especially tacky.

One first step is for merchants to review the exact text to be shown to consumers. Be wary of vague language: "excludes special offers" invites disputes over whether the chef's special and a child portion are eligible; "not valid on major holidays" raises the question of which days are "major." We've been surprised to see such imprecise wording on vouchers, and we think merchants and voucher services can do better.

Merchants should also confirm their legal obligations when accepting discount vouchers. Once customers prepay, they often enjoy consumer protections with regard to gift certificates-including special rules as to expiration and partial refunds. Here in Massachusetts, a gift certificate that is 90 percent used may be redeemed in cash if the customer so requests.

Even sales tax can be complicated: if a customer pays $20 to eat food that costs $35 at a restaurant's menu prices, should the customer pay sales tax on $20 or $35? (In Massachusetts, the Department of Revenue has confirmed the former—though in my experience, few restaurants follow that rule.)

As retailers gain experience with discount vouchers, these matters may become routine. But for now, there's ample room for error, creating important risks for retailers that fall short of applicable consumer protections.

Q: How does the service affect business with existing customers who historically have paid full price?

A: We've seen two main effects. First, some discount voucher services send users to merchants en masse. The day after a Groupon is released, hundreds of buyers tend to swamp a small business unprepared for the rush. That barrage of customers can disrupt service to full-price customers, who may end up waiting for service. That said, we don't think this kind of disruption is inevitable; other services have found ways to spread customers over time. For example, Restaurant.com sends customers on an ongoing basis rather than all at once.

Second, full-price customers may be unhappy when they realize others are getting large discounts. We've all had the experience on an airplane of talking to a nearby passenger whose fare was vastly different. But that's a new experience at local retailers. Existing customers might "revolt," becoming less willing to pay full price once they realize that others are paying less.

Q: When Groupon first came on the scene, most of the participating retailers were small, local food- or service-oriented businesses. Eventually, though, we started seeing Groupons from national retailers such as The Gap, which sold some 400,000 Groupons in a single day. Based on what you've learned, do you think discount vouchers make sense for large retailers?

A: Discount vouchers seem to be most compelling for merchants with a low cost of goods sold and with a highly perishable product. Restaurants fit the bill in that ingredients are often just 30 percent of menu price, and every hour a table sits empty is lost revenue that can never be recovered. So too for spas, gyms, hotels, and many other services.

Retailers of durable products, like manufactured goods and clothing, are in a somewhat different position. Typically, their business requires a higher cost of goods sold, giving them less room to discount. And if they don't sell a product one day, they can hold it in inventory for future sale. So marginal business is less urgent for them.

We're not prepared to say Gap's Groupon was a mistake. Getting customers into Gap stores with a Groupon might lead to big sales—above and beyond the voucher value. Plus, those customers might tell their friends. And we suspect that Groupon charged Gap less than its usual fee. Still, Gap might have been able to run a similar promotion itself, without going through Groupon; Gap's established brand would have attracted substantial consumer interest. Other large merchants can also handle their own offers; the Groupon-style brand and infrastructure are most valuable to smaller firms.

Q: Explain how the efficacy of Groupon will change in the future, especially if more and more consumers continue to use these vouchers. How do you expect Groupon and its competitors to respond to these changes?

A: One natural change is for fees to drop. Groupon has charged merchants a remarkable 50 percent of voucher purchase price, but it seems that competition is already driving fees down.

A major problem for discount voucher services is that as they grow, their customers necessarily come to resemble the general population. So long as discount voucher users tend to be low-end customers who are unwilling to pay full price, voucher services can offer retailers the ability to price discriminate-charging some customers more than others. But once discount voucher services become known to most consumers, price discrimination will become considerably more difficult.

In principle, discount offers can be customized for—indeed, targeted to—individual users. For example, a restaurant could tell a voucher service that it wants to offer a discount only to customers who live more than a mile from the restaurant's location, on the view that customers in the immediate vicinity already know about the restaurant's offerings.

Furthermore, since spas and gyms know their customers' names, they could give discount voucher services a list of consumers to exclude, preventing an offer from reaching existing customers. On one hand, this kind of targeting would make voucher services less attractive to users. But if merchants are confident that existing customers won't receive discounts, then they can offer larger discounts, which will increase consumer interest in voucher services. We think these targeting innovations are feasible, and if Groupon doesn't offer them, a competitor may.

Q: A decade ago, Microsoft cofounder Paul Allen threw millions behind a start-up called Mercata, through which online customers would sign up en masse to buy the same product, and the price of the product would fall as more and more customers signed up. After about a year and a half, Mercata shut its doors. Other than timing, what is it about Groupon that would make it succeed where a company like Mercata failed?

A: Mercata focused on general merchandise, where retailers have a high cost of goods sold and where low perishability lets merchants hold inventory for an extended period. In contrast, recent discount voucher services have focused on sectors with low cost of goods sold and high perishability. We think this altered focus has been the key to success of current discount voucher services.

Q: Do you have any plans to continue researching this subject?

A: Absolutely. We're currently talking to merchants that have used discount voucher services, and we hope to conduct empirical analyses of discount voucher profitability and demographics.

Have you seen success or failure with a discount voucher service like Groupon? Please share your story in the Comment section.

About the author

Carmen Nobel is the Senior Editor of HBS Working Knowledge.


First Look: Jan. 11

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Do you take too long to make a decision? Or are you more likely to shoot from the hip? A new working paper by Dan Ariely (Duke University) and Michael I. Norton (Harvard Business School) identifies decision errors that emerge from both modes, in order to help us consider whether we are facing a "thinking too much" or "thinking too little" problem and adjust accordingly. The article, Thinking Too Little to Thinking Too Much: A Continuum of Decision Making, appears in the current issue of Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science 2. Also new from HBS faculty this week…

In the new book Being the Boss, HBS professor Linda A. Hill and coauthor Kent Lineback show why being in charge is unexpectedly difficult for many managers. They identify "three imperatives" that managers must do to become better: manage yourself, manage your network, and manage your team.

Why do so many business models fail? Writing in Harvard Business Review, Ramon Casadesus-Masanell (HBS) and Joan E. Ricart (IESE Business School) tell us a common fatal flaw is not recognizing how your model will work in the real world. "The success or failure of a company's business model depends largely on how it interacts with [models] of the other players in the industry." Read How to Design a Winning Business Model.

— Sean Silverthorne

Publications

Being the Boss: The 3 Imperatives for Becoming a Great Leader

Authors:Linda A. Hill and Kent Lineback
Publication:Harvard Business Press, 2011
Abstract

You never dreamed being the boss would be so hard. You're caught in a web of conflicting expectations from subordinates, your supervisor, peers, and customers. You're constantly fighting fires. You're mired in office politics. You end each day exhausted and discouraged, wondering what, if anything, you've accomplished. You're not alone. As Linda Hill and Kent Lineback reveal in Being the Boss, becoming an effective manager is a painful, difficult journey. It's trial and error, endless effort, and slowly acquired personal insight. Many managers never complete the journey. At best, they just learn to get by. At worst, they become terrible bosses. This new book explains how to avoid that fate by mastering three imperatives: 1) Manage yourself: Learn that management isn't about getting things done yourself. It's about accomplishing things through others; 2) Manage a network: Understand how power and influence work in your organization and build a network of mutually beneficial relationships to navigate your company's complex political environment; and 3) Manage a team: Forge a high-performing "we" out of all the "I"s who report to you. Packed with compelling stories and practical guidance, Being the Boss is an indispensable guide for not only first-time managers but all managers seeking to master the most daunting challenges of leadership.

Publisher Link: http://hbr.org/product/being-the-boss-the-3-imperatives-for-becoming-a-gr/an/12285-HBK-ENG

Building World Class Universities in Asia

Author:D. Quinn Mills
Publication:CreateSpace, 2010
Abstract

After discussing higher education's potential contribution to Asia's economic progress and the characteristics (and limitations) of a leading university, Professor Emeritus Daniel Quinn Mills lays out his recommendations for building a world-class university in Asia, including how to hire faculty, build a curriculum, attract and retain students, and achieve top-quality research.

Publisher Link: http://www.amazon.com/Building-World-Class-Universities-Asia/dp/1453707778

The Fund Industry: How Your Money Is Managed

Authors:Robert Pozen and Theresa Hamacher
Publication:John Wiley & Sons, forthcoming
Abstract

The Fund Industry explains to students and investors how to evaluate mutual funds and other collective investment vehicles. It discusses how different types of funds are managed, marketed, and regulated. It also reviews how funds invest and gather assets in countries across the globe.

Publisher Link: http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-0470634251.html

Thinking Too Little to Thinking Too Much: A Continuum of Decision Making

Authors:Dan Ariely and Michael I. Norton
Publication:Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Cognitive Science 2 (January-February 2011)
Abstract

Due to the sheer number and variety of decisions that people make in their everyday lives—from choosing yogurts to choosing religions to choosing spouses—research in judgment and decision making has taken many forms. We suggest, however, that much of this research has been conducted under two broad rubrics: the study of thinking too little (as with the literature on heuristics and biases), and the study of thinking too much (as with the literature on decision analysis). In this review, we focus on the different types of decision errors that result from both modes of thought. For thinking too little, we discuss research exploring the ways in which habits can lead people to make suboptimal decisions; for thinking too much, we discuss research documenting the ways in which careful consideration of attributes, and careful consideration of options, can do the same. We end by suggesting that decision makers may do well, when making any decision, to consider whether they are facing a "thinking too much" or "thinking too little" problem and adjust accordingly.

Download the paper: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/wcs.90/abstract

How to Design a Winning Business Model

Authors:Ramon Casadesus-Masanell and Joan E. Ricart
Publication:Harvard Business Review 89
Abstract

Most executives believe that competing through business models is critical for success, but few have come to grips with how best to do so. One common mistake, the authors' studies show, is enterprises' unwavering focus on creating innovative models and evaluating their efficacy in standalone fashion—just as engineers test new technologies or products. However, the success or failure of a company's business model depends largely on how it interacts with those of the other players in the industry. (Almost any business model will perform brilliantly if a company is lucky enough to be the only one in a market.) Because companies build them without thinking about the competition, they routinely deploy doomed business models. Moreover, many companies ignore the dynamic elements of business models and fail to realize that they can design business models to generate winner-take-all effects similar to the network externalities that high-tech companies such as Microsoft, eBay, and Facebook often create. A good business model creates virtuous cycles that, over time, result in competitive advantage. Smart companies know how to strengthen their virtuous cycles, undermine those of rivals, and even use them to turn competitors' strengths into weaknesses.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2011/01/how-to-design-a-winning-business-model/ar/1#

Share Issuance and Factor Timing

Authors:Robin Greenwood and Samuel Gregory Hanson
Publication:Journal of Finance (forthcoming)
Abstract

We show that characteristics of stock issuers can be used to forecast important common factors in stocks' returns such as those associated with book-to-market, size, and industry. Specifically, we use differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers to forecast characteristic-related factor returns. For example, we show that large firms underperform following years when issuing firms are large relative to repurchasing firms. While our strongest results are for portfolios based on book-to-market, size (i.e., we forecast the HML and SMB factors), and industry, our approach is also useful for forecasting factor returns associated with distress, payout policy, and profitability.

Read the paper: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1572174

Are You a Good Boss—Or a Great One?

Authors:Linda A. Hill and Kent Lineback
Publication:Harvard Business Review 89
Abstract

Private moments of doubt and fear come even to managers who have spent years on the job. Any number of events can trigger them: an initiative is going poorly; you get a lukewarm performance review; your new assignment is daunting. HBS professor Linda Hill and executive Kent Lineback have long studied the question of how managers grow and advance. Their experience brings them to a simple but troubling observation: Most bosses reach a certain level of proficiency and stay there—short of what they could and should be. Why? Because they stop working on themselves. The authors offer what they call the three imperatives for every manager who seeks to avoid this stagnation: Manage yourself. Who you are as a person, the beliefs and values that drive your actions, and especially how you connect with others all matter to the people you must influence. Manage your network. Effective managers know they cannot avoid conflict and competition among organizational groups; they build and nurture ongoing relationships. Manage your team. Team members need to know what's required of them collectively and individually and what the team's values, norms, and standards are. The authors include a useful assessment tool to help readers get started.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2011/01/are-you-a-good-boss-or-a-great-one/ar/1#

The Emerging Capital Market for Nonprofits

Authors:Robert S. Kaplan and Allen S. Grossman
Publication:,em>Harvard Business Review 88
Abstract

Many of our largest and most successful companies today did not exist 50 years ago. During this same time interval, companies that ranked among top in the 1960s have disappeared, been merged out of existence, or become much smaller presences in the U.S. industrial scene. These shifts in fortunes are vivid examples of the private sector's cycle of Schumpeterian creative destruction. In contrast, the list of the largest nonprofit organizations has remained stable over decades. Large nonprofits do not disappear and few new ones—Habitat for Humanity and Teach for America are among the exceptions—scale to national size. Schumpeter's cycle apparently does not operate in the social sector. This paper proposes that the disparity arises from the nonprofit sector's historically immature infrastructure and poor mechanisms for channeling funds from donors and foundations to the most effective nonprofits and away from underperforming ones. We illustrate how innovative information and financial intermediaries, using new measurement approaches tailored for the nonprofit sector, have recently arisen to help direct funds to the most effective nonprofits. These innovations have the potential to enable the sector to become far more responsive, effective, and efficient in creating positive social impact at a national scale.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2010/10/the-emerging-capital-market-for-nonprofits/ar/1

Stop Holding Yourself Back

Authors:Anne Morriss, Robin J. Ely, and Frances X. Frei
Publication:Harvard Business Review 89
Abstract

After working with hundreds of leaders in a wide variety of organizations and in countries all over the globe, the authors found one very clear pattern: when it comes to meeting their leadership potential, many people unintentionally get in their own way. Five barriers in particular tend to keep promising managers from becoming exceptional leaders: people overemphasize personal goals, protect their public image, turn their competitors into two-dimensional enemies, go it alone instead of soliciting support and advice, and wait for permission to lead. Troy, a customer service manager, endangered his job and his company's reputation by focusing on protecting his position, not helping his team; when a trusted friend advised him to change his behavior, the results were striking. Anita's insistence on sticking to the tough persona she'd created for herself caused her to ignore the more intuitive part of the leadership equation, with disastrous results—until she let go of the need to appear invulnerable and reached out to another manager. Jon, a personal trainer who had virtually no experience with either youth development programs or urban life, opened a highly successful gym for inner-city kids at risk; he refused to be daunted by his lack of expertise and decided to simply "go for it." As these and other examples from the authors' research demonstrate, being a leader means making an active decision to lead. Only then will the workforce—and society—benefit from the enormous amount of talent currently sitting on the bench.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2011/01/managing-yourself-stop-holding-yourself-back/ar/1

Creating Shared Value

Authors:Michael E. Porter and Mark R. Kramer
Publication:Harvard Business Review 89
Abstract

The capitalist system is under siege. In recent years business has been criticized as a major cause of social, environmental, and economic problems. Companies are widely thought to be prospering at the expense of their communities. Trust in business has fallen to new lows, leading government officials to set policies that undermine competitiveness and sap economic growth. Business is caught in a vicious circle. A big part of the problem lies with companies themselves, which remain trapped in an outdated, narrow approach to value creation. Focused on optimizing short-term financial performance, they overlook the greatest unmet needs in the market as well as broader influences on their long-term success. Why else would companies ignore the well-being of their customers, the depletion of natural resources vital to their businesses, the viability of suppliers, and the economic distress of the communities in which they produce and sell? It doesn't have to be this way, say Porter, of Harvard Business School, and Kramer, the managing director of the social impact advisory firm FSG. Companies could bring business and society back together if they redefined their purpose as creating "shared value"-generating economic value in a way that also produces value for society by addressing its challenges. A shared value approach reconnects company success with social progress. Firms can do this in three distinct ways: by reconceiving products and markets, redefining productivity in the value chain, and building supportive industry clusters at the company's locations. A number of companies known for their hard-nosed approach to business—including GE, Wal-Mart, Nestlé, Johnson & Johnson, and Unilever—have already embarked on important initiatives in these areas. Nestlé, for example, redesigned its coffee procurement processes, working intensively with small farmers in impoverished areas who were trapped in a cycle of low productivity, poor quality, and environmental degradation. Nestlé provided advice on farming practices; helped growers secure plant stock, fertilizers, and pesticides; and began directly paying them a premium for better beans. Higher yields and quality increased the growers' incomes, the environmental impact of farms shrank, and Nestlé's reliable supply of good coffee grew significantly. Shared value was created. Shared value could reshape capitalism and its relationship to society. It could also drive the next wave of innovation and productivity growth in the global economy as it opens managers' eyes to immense human needs that must be met, large new markets to be served, and the internal costs of social deficits—as well as the competitive advantages available from addressing them. But our understanding of shared value is still in its genesis. Attaining it will require managers to develop new skills and knowledge and governments to learn how to regulate in ways that enable shared value, rather than work against it.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2011/01/the-big-idea-creating-shared-value/ar/1

Minimal Settlement Assets in Economies with Interconnected Financial Obligations

Author:Julio J. Rotemberg
Publication:Journal of Money, Credit and Banking (forthcoming)
Abstract

A model is developed where firms belonging to a group are obliged to make payments to one another by using a liquid asset. The paper studies the exogenous endowments of this asset that are necessary to assure that all obligations are met. Conditions are presented under which the degree to which firms are interconnected (so that each creditor has more debtors and each debtor has more creditors) increases the number of firms that must be endowed with the liquid asset. Interconnectedness then makes payment defaults more likely. By acquiring too many payment obligations, firms may also become too interconnected.

Working Papers

Peronist Beliefs and Interventionist Policies

Authors:Rafael Di Tella and Juan Dubra
Abstract

We study the logic of Peronist interventionist polices and the beliefs that support them. Instead of a comprehensive approach, we focus on three elements. First, we study beliefs and values about the economic system present in Peron's speeches during the period 1943-1955. Second, we study survey data for the 1990s on the beliefs of Peronist and non- Peronist voters in Argentina and Democrat and Republican voters in the U.S. While income and education suggest that Peronists (in relative terms) look like the American Democrats, their beliefs and values suggest that Peronists are the Argentine equivalent of the Republicans. Third, given that these beliefs are non-standard (for economists) we present a model formalizing some of their key aspects (for example, the idea that there is something more than a material exchange in labor relations).

Download the paper: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w16621

Conveniently Upset: Avoiding Altruism by Distorting Beliefs about Others

Authors:Rafael Di Tella and Ricardo Pérez-Truglia
Abstract

In this paper we present the results from a "corruption game" (a dictator game modified so that the second player can accept a side payment that reduces the overall size of the pie). Dictators (silently) treated to have the possibility of taking a larger proportion of the recipient's tokens, take more of them. They were also more likely to report believing that the recipient would accept a low price in exchange for a side payment and selected larger numbers as their best guess of the likely proportion of recipients acting "unfairly." The results favor the hypothesis that people avoid altruistic actions by distorting beliefs about others.

Download the paper: http://papers.nber.org/papers/w16645

Preference Heterogeneity and Optimal Capital Income Taxation

Authors:Mikhail Golosov, Maxim Troshkin, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Matthew Weinzierl
Abstract

We examine a prominent justification for capital income taxation: goods preferred by those with high ability ought to be taxed. In an environment where commodity taxes are allowed to be nonlinear functions of income and consumption, we derive an analytical expression that reveals the forces determining optimal commodity taxation. We then calibrate the model to evidence on the relationship between skills and preferences and extensively examine the quantitative case for taxes on future consumption (saving). In our baseline case of a unit intertemporal elasticity, optimal capital income tax rates are 2% on average and 4.5% on high earners. We find that the intertemporal elasticity of substitution has a substantial effect on optimal capital taxation. If the intertemporal elasticity is one-third, optimal capital income tax rates rise to 15% on average and 23% on high earners; if the intertemporal elasticity is two, optimal rates fall to 0.6% on average and 1.6% on high earners. Nevertheless, in all cases that we consider, the welfare gains of using optimal capital taxes are small.

Download the paper: http://www.nber.org/papers/w16619

A Behavioral Model of Demandable Deposits and Its Implications for Financial Regulation

Author:Julio J. Rotemberg
Abstract

A model is developed that rationalizes contracts that give depositors the right to obtain funds on demand even when depositors intend to use these funds for consumption in the future. This is explained by depositor overoptimism regarding their own ability to collect funds in a run. Capitalized institutions serving depositors with such beliefs emerge in equilibrium even if depositors and bank owners have the same preferences and the same investment opportunities. Various government regulations of these institutions, including minimum capital levels, requirements concerning the assets they may hold, deposit insurance, and compulsory clawbacks in bankruptcy, can raise the average ex post welfare of depositors.

Download the paper: http://www.nber.org/papers/w16620

What We Know: Turning Organizational Knowledge into Team Performance

Authors:Bradley R. Staats, Melissa A. Valentine, and Amy C. Edmondson
Abstract

This paper examines how teams draw on knowledge resources in the firm in the production of novel output. We theorize positive effects of team use of an organizational knowledge repository on two measures of team performance (quality and efficiency) and argue that these effects will be greater when teams face structural characteristics (team geographic dispersion and task change) that intensify the challenge of knowledge integration. Drawing on information processing theory, we distinguish between a team's knowledge repository use and concentration of use (the extent to which use is limited to a few members versus more evenly distributed within the team). Using objective data from several hundred software development projects in an Indian software services firm, we find that knowledge repository use has a positive effect on project efficiency but not on project quality. Concentration of repository use, a form of within-team specialization, is negatively associated with project efficiency and positively related to project quality. Finally, as predicted, we find that in some cases the effects of both repository use and concentration of repository use are greater when teams are dispersed geographically or encounter changing tasks. Our findings offer insight for theory and practice into how organizational knowledge resources can improve knowledge workers' productivity and help build organizational capability.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-031.pdf

Does Shareholder Proxy Access Improve Firm Value? Evidence from the Business Roundtable Challenge

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Published:January 11, 2011
Paper Released:November 2010
Authors:Bo Becker, Daniel B. Bergstresser, and and Guhan Subramanian

Executive Summary:

In August 2010, the Security and Exchange Commission announced a highly anticipated rule that would make it easier for investors to nominate new board members and get rid of existing ones. It allowed shareholders to have their board candidates included in the company's proxy materials--if those shareholders had owned at least 3 percent of the firm's shares for at least the prior three years. On October 4, the SEC unexpectedly and indefinitely postponed the implementation of that rule, pending the outcome of a lawsuit aimed at overturning it. This paper gauges the significance of the proxy access rule by measuring whether certain firms gained or lost market value on news of the delay. Research was conducted by Harvard Business School professors Bo Becker, Daniel Bergstresser, and Guhan Subramanian. Key concepts include:

  • Firms that would have been most affected by the proxy access rule, based on institutional ownership, lost value on October 4, 2010, following the news of the rule's delay. This suggests that financial markets placed positive value on shareholders' access to the board.
  • The loss in value was greatest at firms that had large positions held by activist investors.
  • The paper's findings may help prove that the SEC has met the federal rule mandating that all proposed rules "will promote efficiency, competition, and capital formation."

Abstract

We measure the value of shareholder proxy access by using a recent development in the ability of shareholders to nominate candidates for board seats. We use the SEC's October 4, 2010 announcement that it would significantly delay implementation of its August 2010 proxy access rule as a natural experiment. Because firms with substantial institutional ownership would have been most affected by the SEC's now-delayed changes, we use the share and composition of institutional investors to sort firms into those more and less affected by the October 4 news. Firms that would have been most affected by proxy access, as measured by institutional ownership, lost value on that day. The value drop was 55 basis points for a 10 percentage point change in activist institution ownership. These results suggest that financial markets placed a positive value on shareholder access, as implemented in the SEC's August 2010 rule.

Paper Information

Modularity for Value Appropriation--How to Draw the Boundaries of Intellectual Property

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Published:January 12, 2011
Paper Released:November 2010
Authors:Carliss Y. Baldwin and Joachim Henkel

Executive Summary:

Many firms have adopted models of "open innovation," in which they seek ideas from external sources such as university labs, independent entrepreneurs, customers, and other companies. While such a business model has the potential to create value, the inherent intellectual property issues can be sticky. This paper discusses how companies can address these issues by adopting a system of modularity, wherein innovation in one part of a project will not require changes in all the other parts. Research was conducted by Joachim Henkel of Technische Universität München and Harvard Business School professor Carliss Y. Baldwin. Key concepts include:

  • Controlling too much of the system's intellectual property will deter outside innovation, but controlling too little can prevent a firm from capturing value.
  • A system can use different, incompatible forms of intellectual property and still be IP-modular, provided that the incompatible chunks of knowledge are associated with different modules within the whole system.
  • The optimal modular structure for capturing value is not necessarily the same as the optimal structure for creating value.

Abstract

The existing theory of modularity explains how modular designs create value. We extend this theory to address value appropriation. A product or process design that is modular with respect to intellectual property (IP) allows firms to better capture value in situations where knowledge and value creation are distributed across many actors. We propose a theory of IP modularity based on value maximization net of transaction and agency costs. We then use case examples to extend the theory into practical settings and derive strategic recommendations and empirical predictions.

Paper Information

Being the Boss

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Published:January 17, 2011
Author:Carmen Nobel

Nineteen years ago, Harvard Business School professor Linda A. Hill wrote the first edition of her book Becoming a Manager, detailing the experiences of several first-year supervisors who were making the daunting transition from star performer to novice boss. Since then, she has found that the now-classic book is popular not just among newbies but also among leaders with decades of experience.

"I've always been surprised by why on earth they're reading a book about becoming a manager," Hill says. "What I've come to understand is that many of them never really made the psychological transformation from being an individual contributor to being a manager, and it really resonates with them when they read the book. Many of them are not fulfilling their potential. They're well intended, but a fair number of them derail or kind of get stuck."

Hill specifically targets that audience in her new book, Being the Boss: The 3 Imperatives for Becoming a Great Leader, cowritten with Kent Lineback.

"This book was written to benefit experienced people who are trying to go from good to great," Hill says.

Being the Boss describes the challenges that good bosses face as they endeavor to manage themselves, manage their networks, and manage their teams. In short, being a good boss is about much more than wielding authority.

"I've seen so many people get that wrong," says Lineback, himself a former executive. "They think authority defines them. I've had bosses who had to resort to saying, 'I'm the boss!' And when you get to that point, you've lost it."

In the following interview, Hill talks about the difficulties of striking a balance between management and leadership in the age of globalization and remote offices.

Carmen Nobel: Your book discusses three imperatives for becoming a great leader: managing yourself, managing your network, and managing your team. What are some of the issues inherent in each of them?

Linda Hill: It starts with using yourself as an instrument to get things done. And because you're the instrument, you've got to know that instrument very well and use it appropriately, so that your imprint matches your impact. We talk a lot about what it really means to be the boss. For instance, although you do have formal authority, you don't want to have to rely on that too much to get things done.

Managing your network is in the middle of the book, before the section on managing your team. That kind of throws some people because when you think about being the boss, you mostly think about the people who report to you. But unless you manage the context in which your team resides, there's no way that your team can be successful. So you have to understand the political dynamics, you have to understand how to build a network with peers and bosses, and you have to set the right expectations for your team and the right resources. We really think that's at the heart.

The last piece is your team. That's about all the complexities of what it means to build a team—a team is different from just a group—and how you think about managing the performance of individuals. We also talk about preparing for the future—that managing isn't all about today, it's also about managing your team for tomorrow.

Q: You include a chapter called "Don't Forget Your Boss." Managers often fail to realize their role in their relationships with their bosses. What do they need to keep in mind?

A: It's common to let the person up the chain be most responsible for whether you have a healthy relationship, but you're equally responsible. If you don't manage that relationship right, your team is not going to be able to do what it needs to do.

Powerlessness corrupts as much as power. You shouldn't feel powerless with your boss. That's not the deal. You have to figure out the sources of power you have to influence the boss. You also have to see the boss as human and fallible in all the ways that you're human and fallible, and figure out how to deal with the reality of who that person is—rather than the ideal of what you'd like that person to be like. There are really bad bosses, and you can't be naive or cynical about this. It's hard to be successful with a bad boss, and sometimes success means figuring out how to get out of that situation. But before you decide that's the deal, you need to take responsibility for the relationship, because it's definitely two-way. I'm building on the traditions of [HBS professors emeriti] John Kotter and John Gabarro, who [in 1980] wrote an article about managing your boss, which was very radical at the time. (http://hbr.org/2005/01/managing-your-boss/ar/1)

Today many people have multiple bosses, and we also discuss the challenges there. One of the most common missteps is to deal with the boss who's closest to you physically and treat your relationship with your other boss as out of sight, out of mind. So we talk about how you have to manage the priorities between those two bosses and how to negotiate what will be your priorities, given their priorities.

Q: Due to technological advances and globalization, more and more managers find themselves leading, collaborating with, and reporting to colleagues in remote offices—people they rarely if ever see in person. What challenges do they need to consider?

A: When I teach executives, we talk about how you give feedback virtually to people you'll never see in person—giving performance appraisals to people you never see and understanding the complexities of that, and understanding the limitations of e-mail and telephone calls. We really rely on nonverbal cues, generally, to help us understand the credibility of the message. For instance, to tell whether I'm telling the truth, you'll listen to my tone, you'll look at my face. We're prepared by evolution to read the whole person and figure out whether that person is credible.

Often you're dealing with the fact that the person is not only far away but might be of a different culture as well. And you've got to figure out how to interpret him or her. So what we have to explain is that when you don't have those nonverbal cues, then you have to realize that it's really an impoverished method of communication. You can't act like it's face-to-face communication when it isn't. We all know, because we've experienced it, how fast conflict can escalate with e-mail because the nonverbals are not there.

When you're building trust virtually, it's really important that you deliver on what you say you're going to do. If you tell someone [in a remote office], "By four o'clock on Wednesday afternoon you'll have X," it matters more that you actually get it [done] on time, because that person will use those cues to figure out whether you're trustworthy rather than the nonverbal cues that are not available. Whereas, you might tell someone down the hall that you'll get something to him by 5 o'clock next Thursday, but when the deadline approaches [and you haven't completed it], you can go [to his office] and say, "You know this other thing is happening, can I get it to you tomorrow?" And he can read you in person.

Another tip is that when you're working virtually, silence does not indicate agreement. So you have to actively inquire more than you would with a face-to-face interaction. On the phone I can't see whether you're shaking your head, so I have to ask, actively, if everything is OK.

Q: What are you working on next?

A: My next book is on leadership for innovation—on what kind of leadership is most appropriate if sustained breakthrough innovation is what you need to be doing. The key to competitiveness these days is not just about having the right strategy but also about being able to do these breakthrough innovations more than once.

Book excerpt from Being the Boss: 3 Imperatives for Becoming a Great Leader

By Linda A. Hill and Kent Lineback

Being the Boss: 3 Imperatives for Becoming a Great Leader

"I'm the boss!"

It's a common mistake to think management is defined by formal authority—the ability that comes with a title to impose your will on others. In fact, formal authority is a useful but limited tool.

People Want More Than a Formal, Authority-Based Relationship with the Boss

Many managers—especially those who were achievement-driven stars as individual performers—don't even think about relationships. They're so task oriented that they put the work to be done and their authority as boss at the heart of what they do and assume they can ignore the human aspects of working with others. 1

The problem is that most people don't want your authority to be the be-all and end-all of the relationship. They want a personal, human connection, an emotional link. They want you to care about them as individuals. They want you to encourage their growth and development. Research tells us this kind of human relationship with the boss is a key factor determining an employee's level of engagement with the work. 2

We know of a small-company owner, a warm, decent woman, so pressed for time she consciously decided to avoid small talk at the office. She never opened up to people about herself or asked about their lives and interests. She didn't, that is, until her people rose up and expressed, through an intermediary, that they hated how she treated them. They wanted a real human connection with her, even if she was "the boss."

The Limits of Formal Authority

Most managers soon discover, often to their dismay, that authority isn't very effective for influencing people and getting results.

Your Formal Authority Often Fails to Produce Compliance

You may think people are perverse or stubborn, but there are many reasons they don't always follow your instructions.

They disagree with you. They think there's a better way and feel free to exercise their own judgment.

They think something else is more important. It's up to you to set deadlines and make your priorities clear.

They don't understand what you want. Making directions more and more explicit can only go so far. Most work today requires some judgment and thought, and so it's almost impossible to give instructions specific enough to eliminate all misunderstanding or cover every contingency.

They find circumstances have changed, invalidating your directions and forcing them to improvise.

They dislike being bossed around. Peremptory orders given in a tone of voice or choice of words that's belittling only invite minimal compliance or subtle disobedience. As someone told us, "I fixed my boss. I did exactly what he said to do." Be aware that some people are especially sensitive to "being bossed around." They bring to work a history of troubled dealings with authority figures. By the time you meet them, they've accumulated a set of ambivalent and even negative feelings about authority, which they apply to you and any instructions you give. At the extreme, these are the people from whom a simple directive can produce angry resistance.

People may have a view of authority that differs from yours. They may bring to work generational or cultural attitudes that lead them to distrust and question authority. That will make them less likely to comply. This is not personal. It's simply a different point of view that you and they will need to work through. As companies and work groups become more diverse, these differences will appear more often.

Finally, people may not comply because they're confused. The growing complexity of the workplace and more fluid organizational structures with multiple bosses and temporary teams can complicate and blur lines of authority. Many employees may be confused by what seem to them conflicting demands and expectations.

Also, in virtual teams with members spread far apart, distance diminishes the ability of formal authority to create compliance. It's easy to forget about a boss 3,000 miles away, especially when there's another just down the hall.

All of these reasons create a workplace in which authority is at best an uncertain means of influence.

Your Formal Authority by Itself Cannot Generate Commitment

You need more than people's simple compliance. You need them to be engaged with their work and want to do it well. You can command how your people spend their time, even where they direct their attention, but you cannot decree what's essential for good work—you must win their commitment by winning over their heads and hearts.

When you rely primarily on your formal authority, you're fundamentally managing through fear—fear of the consequences of disobedience.

Fear is a limited, ultimately corrosive and demeaning way to get what you want from others. It certainly will not generate personal commitment or real engagement with the work and the team.

Your Formal Authority Cannot Create Genuine Change

Change often brings uncertainty, loss, and pain for those it touches. Yet those are usually the very people who must embrace the change and make it work. Real solutions can only come from those involved, and real change requires that they alter not only their behavior but their thinking, assumptions, and values as well. Authority cannot compel such change.

Your Formal Authority Is Less Likely to Elicit People's Knowledge and Insight

Every individual in an organization possesses knowledge, skills, and new ideas of potential value. (If they don't, it's your responsibility to replace them with people who do.) Managing people primarily by exercising your formal authority—by telling them what to do without truly seeking their input—is far less likely than a more open approach to capture that full value. Insisting on "I'm the boss!" places a huge burden on you. The head of a large high-tech company told us of a discussion she once had with her head of HR. Her company had installed a program to encourage broader participation in decision making, and she was frustrated that product development seemed to be moving too slowly.

"Maybe we have to go back to the old command-and-control system," she said.

"If that's what you want," said the HR person, "I'll help you. But there's one problem. You have to be right all the time."

Laughing, the CEO said, "I'll never forget what he said. I told him, 'That's never going to work.' "

No one person can possibly possess the knowledge, experience, and wisdom needed to make every decision. Organizational success today requires the involvement of everyone at all levels. Less authority-driven organizations are more likely to elicit and take full advantage of the talent and experience of their people.

About the author

Carmen Nobel is the senior editor for HBS Working Knowledge

Footnotes

1. See, for example, David C. McClelland and David H. Burnham, "Power Is the Great Motivator," Harvard Business Review, March-April 1976, 100-110; and Scott Spreier, "Leadership Run Amok," Harvard Business Review, June 2006, 72-82.

2. See, for example, Ronald A. Heifetz, Leadership Without Easy Answers (Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 1994), 263-266; Joan Magretta, What Management Is: How It Works and Why It's Everyone's Business (New York: Free Press, 2002), 195; and Rodd Wagner and James K. Harter, 12: The Elements of Great Managing (New York: Gallup Press, 2006), chap. 3.

Reprinted by permission of Harvard Business Review Press. Excerpt from Being the Boss: The 3 Imperatives for Becoming a Great Leader, by Linda A. Hill and Kent Lineback. Copyright © 2011 Linda A. Hill and Kent Lineback. All rights reserved.

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Activist Board Members Increase Firm's Market Value

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Published:January 19, 2011
Author:Carmen Nobel

Public company shareholders have long complained that corporate boards don't always act in the best interest of their investors. But does the addition of a shareholder-sponsored board member increase the market value of the firm?

The answer is important because it could support or thwart the US government's regulatory efforts to increase shareholder power at the board level following the recent financial crisis.

To help answer that question, three Harvard Business School professors performed a natural experiment made possible by changes to federal proxy rules, which began last summer.

In August 2010, the US Securities and Exchange Commission passed Rule 14a-11, also known as the shareholder proxy access rule, which would allow large investors to nominate board members in the company's proxy materials, forgoing the traditional time-consuming and expensive election process that was rarely successful. In short, the rule would make it much easier for dissident shareholders to nominate and put in place new directors.

The shareholder proxy access rule limited which owners could nominate directors. In order to qualify, shareholders had to have owned at least 3 percent of a firm's shares for at least the prior three years. Still, the announcement drew ire from some business groups, including the US Chamber of Commerce and the Business Roundtable.

They argued that the rule might shift too much power to unions and special interest groups, and that highly experienced directors might not want to serve on a board if they had to work alongside shareholder-sponsored candidates. In addition, shareholders would be penalized by a decrease in the company's market value.

In September, the two organizations jointly filed a lawsuit against the SEC, arguing that the rule violated the Administrative Procedure Act and that the SEC failed to properly assess the rule's effects on "efficiency, competition and capital formation" as required by law.

The complaint did not come as a surprise to industry observers, but the SEC's reaction did. On October 4, the SEC unexpectedly announced that it was indefinitely postponing the implementation of shareholder proxy access, pending the outcome of the lawsuit.

A natural experiment

The delay was just what the HBS professors needed to conduct an impromptu experiment. They hypothesized that the market reaction to the SEC announcement could help determine whether increasing shareholder power would be considered good or bad in the eyes of the stock market. They detail their research in a new paper: Does Shareholder Proxy Access Improve Firm Value? Evidence from the Business Roundtable Challenge.

"The delay was a big surprise," says Bo Becker, who coauthored the paper with colleagues Daniel B. Bergstresser and Guhan Subramanian. "Nobody thought the case had much merit. But all of a sudden you sort of pulled the rug out from under any owners planning to use this rule as a tool. It was a unique situation for [research] because it was unpredicted and legally important for a subset of firms with large activist owners who might take advantage of a proxy access rule."

The professors compared stock market returns for different firms on October 4, the day the SEC announced the delay.

In particular, they compared the return for companies where investors known for being activists held large stakes. ("Activist investors" is used here to refer to hedge funds with a history of trying to change company behavior.) Presumably, these were the shareholders who would have been most likely to nominate new board members if the SEC hadn't delayed the rule.

"The Business Roundtable could be right that some shareholders have ideas that destroy firm value," Becker says. "But it is also possible that some activist hedge funds go through the trouble of taking concentrated risk for an extended time only when they believe they have good ideas for improving the firm's performance. If this is true, and if they are sometimes right, taking the proxy access rule out of their toolbox is going to reduce firm value."

The latter possibility appears more consistent with stock market evidence. The overall market fell on October 4. More importantly, the news had an especially negative effect on companies that would have been most heavily affected by the proxy access rule because they had activist investors. The stocks of those companies fell the most.

"We find that share prices of companies that would have been most exposed to shareholder access declined significantly compared to share prices of companies that would have been most insulated from the rule," the professors write in their report.

Firms in which historically activist institutions held significant ownership stakes lost considerable value on the announcement: a drop in 55 basis points for a 10 percentage point change in activist institution ownership.

"The biggest conclusion we draw from this is that allowing owners to have more power and influence with corporate decision-making, on balance, seems to be valuable in the eyes of the stock market," Becker says. "And this particular rule or some similar rule seems like it might be one way to do it."

Most people who study corporate governance and large firms, both inside and outside academia, would say that it's plausible that there are at least a few firms in the S&P 1500 where shareholders might have some useful ideas, Becker says. "This is not to say that firms in general are mismanaged, but that there are some firms out there where owners could have a positive influence."

The research could prove to be a helpful tool for the SEC.

"The best argument that the Business Roundtable raised in its criticism of the SEC rule was that the SEC did not have a careful analysis showing that the rule would be helpful, which it is required to do," Becker explains. "The SEC needs to justify its rules. So, potentially, the SEC could look at our paper to support the idea that this type of rule might be useful."

Carmen Nobel is the senior editor of HBS Working Knowledge.

First Look: January 18

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For many of its 121 years, the National Geographic Society depended on magazine sales to further its mission and attract supporting members. The new case "The National Geographic Society," by David A. Garvin and Carin-Isabel Knoop, looks over the shoulder of CEO John Fahey as he considers a radical (at least for NGS) move: create a senior management position responsible for e-commerce. "Putting the final touches on the position and its reporting arrangements," the authors report, "has led to significant debate within the organization, and Fahey is torn about how to proceed."

Also this week, the working paper "Sustainable Cities: Oxymoron or the Shape of the Future?" explores the successes and failures of eight early "ecocity" projects. And professor Rohit Deshpandé, writing in Harvard Business Review, considers the "provenance paradox," wherein consumers shy away from buying high-quality products from regions not commonly associated with excellence in certain product categories. Download "Why You Aren't Buying Venezuelan Chocolate."

— Sean Silverthorne

Publications

Blind Spots: Why We Fail to Do What's Right and What to Do about It

Authors:Max H. Bazerman and Ann E. Tenbrunsel
Publication:Princeton University Press, in press
Abstract

When confronted with an ethical dilemma, most of us like to think we would stand up for our principles. But we are not as ethical as we think we are. In Blind Spots, leading business ethicists Max Bazerman and Ann Tenbrunsel examine the ways we overestimate our ability to do what is right and how we act unethically without meaning to. From the collapse of Enron and corruption in the tobacco industry, to sales of the defective Ford Pinto and the downfall of Bernard Madoff, the authors investigate the nature of ethical failures in the business world and beyond and illustrate how we can become more ethical, bridging the gap between who we are and who we want to be.

Publisher Link: http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9390.html

Why You Aren't Buying Venezuelan Chocolate

Author:Rohit Deshpandé
Publication:Harvard Business Review 88, no. 12 (December 2010)
Abstract

The article discusses the "provenance paradox," wherein consumers are unwilling to buy high-quality products from regions not commonly associated with excellence in certain product categories. Venezuelan chocolate maker Chocolates El Rey does little international business because consumers associate premium chocolate more with Belgium or Switzerland than with Venezuela. Companies in this position have difficulty charging prices sufficient to fuel international expansion. The author presents advice on overcoming the paradox but warns it can be a lengthy process.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2010/12/why-you-arent-buying-venezuelan-chocolate/ar/1#

Bringing Ethics into Focus: How Regulatory Focus and Risk Preferences Influence (Un)ethical Behavior

Authors:F. Gino and Joshua D. Margolis
Publication:Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes (forthcoming)
Abstract

In four laboratory studies, we find that regulatory focus induced by situational cues (such as the framing of an unrelated task) or primed influences people's likelihood to cross ethical boundaries. A promotion focus leads individuals to be more likely to act unethically than a prevention focus (Studies 1, 2, and 3). These higher levels of dishonesty are explained by the influence of a person's induced regulatory focus on his or her behavior toward risk. A promotion focus leads to risk-seeking behaviors, while a prevention focus leads to risk avoidance (Study 3). Through higher levels of dishonesty, promotion focus also results in higher levels of virtuous behavior (Studies 2 and 3), thus providing evidence for compensatory ethics. Our results also demonstrate that the framing of ethics (e.g., through an organization's ethics code) influences individuals' ethical behavior and does so differently depending on an individual's induced regulatory focus (Study 4).

Read the article: http://www.francescagino.com/publications.html

Robin Hood under the Hood: Wealth-based Discrimination in Illicit Customer Help

Authors:F. Gino and L. Pierce
Publication:Organization Science 21, no. 6 (November-December 2010)
Abstract

This paper investigates whether an employee's perception of customer wealth affects his likelihood of engaging in illegal behavior. We propose that envy and empathy lead employees to discriminate in illicitly helping customers based on customer wealth. We test for this hypothesis in the vehicle emissions testing market, where employees have the opportunity to illegally help customers by passing vehicles that would otherwise fail emissions tests. We find that for a significant number of inspectors, leniency is much higher for those customers with standard vehicles than for those with luxury cars, although a smaller group appears to favor wealthy drivers. We also investigate the psychological mechanisms explaining this wealth-based discriminatory behavior using a laboratory study. Our experiment shows that individuals are more willing to illegally help peers when those peers drive standard rather than luxury cars and that envy and empathy mediate this effect. Collectively, our results suggest the presence of wealth-based discrimination in employee-customer relations and that envy toward wealthy customers and empathy toward those of similar economic status drive much of this illegal behavior. Implications for both theory and practice are discussed.

The Hidden Advantages of Quiet Bosses

Authors:A. M. Grant, F. Gino, and D. A. Hoffman
Publication:Harvard Business Review 88, no. 12 (December 2010)
Abstract

The article discusses research that identified situations where introverts are more apt to be effective leaders than extroverts. Although it is generally accepted that extroverts make the best leaders, the authors found that introverts can be better in unpredictable, changing environments where workers are proactive about sharing their ideas.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2010/12/the-hidden-advantages-of-quiet-bosses/ar/1

What Factors Drive Analyst Forecasts?

Authors:Boris Groysberg, Paul Healy, Nitin Nohria, and George Serafeim
Publication:Financial Analysts Journal (forthcoming)
Abstract

A firm's competitive environment, its strategic choices, and its internal capabilities are considered important determinants of its future performance. Yet there is little evidence on whether analysts' forecasts of firm performance actually reflect any of these factors and which are considered most important. We use survey data from 967 analysts ranking 837 companies to judge how their forecasts are related to evaluations of firms' industry competitiveness, strategic choices, and internal capabilities. Forecasts are generally associated with many of the factors that money managers rate as important in their assessments of analyst contributions, including industry growth and competitiveness, low-price strategy, strategy execution, top management quality, innovation, and performance-driven culture. We also find wide variation across variables for ratings consistency among analysts covering the same firm. On average, consistency is higher for sell-side than buy-side analysts, consistent with sell-side analysts facing greater incentives to herd.

Work Pray Love

Authors:Rosabeth M.Kanter
Publication:Harvard Business Review 88, no. 12 (December 2010)
Abstract

This article identifies five problematic issues in the intersection of work and life that create human resource challenges for organizations and their employees. These include work overload, the slow pace of adopting telecommuting, gender-related pay gaps, a household division of labor that still saddles women with a disproportionate share of caretaking chores, and the question of religious expression in the workplace.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2010/12/column-work-pray-love/ar/1#

Collaborative Implementation: 'What If,' Asked George?

Authors:Leslie Perlow
Publication:In Research Alive: Exploring Generative Moments in Doing Qualitative Research, edited by Arne Carlsen and Jane E. Dutton. Copenhagen Business School Press, forthcoming

An abstract is not available at this time.

Review the book: http://www.cbspress.dk/Visning-af-titel.848.0.html?&cHash=3818d01f1b&ean=9788763002417&code=kommende

The Case for Professional Boards

Author:Robert C. Pozen
Publication:Harvard Business Review 88, no. 12 (December 2010)
Abstract

When the world's largest financial institutions had to be rescued from insolvency in 2008, many experts laid the blame at the feet of corporate boards. But insufficient board oversight is a problem that had supposedly been solved in 2002. As the United States reeled from the blatant failures of corporate governance at Enron and WorldCom, Congress passed the famous Sarbanes-Oxley Act (SOX) to prevent such failures from happening again. The new rules looked promising. The majority of a board's directors now had to be independent. And senior executives were required to conduct annual assessments of their internal controls for review by external auditors, whose work would be further reviewed by a quasi-governmental oversight board. By the time of the financial meltdown, most major financial institutions were SOX compliant-but that didn't stop the failures. More than 80% of collapsed banks' board members were independent, as were all members of their audit, compensation, and nominating committees. All the firms evaluated their internal controls yearly, and, in 2007, their external auditors' reports showed no material weaknesses. Neither did the reviews by the quasi-governmental board. So why were the SOX reforms so ineffective? In the author's view, it's because they merely added a new layer of legal obligations for governance without improving the quality of people serving on the boards or changing their behavioral dynamics. The author—formerly the president or chairman of two global financial firms, an independent director of several large industrial companies, and a longtime scholar of corporate governance—identifies three chronic deficiencies of boards: They tend to be too large to operate effectively. Members often lack sufficient expertise in the relevant industry. And few devote enough time to fully understand the complexities of the business. In this article, Pozen presents a new model for the corporate board.

Read the article: http://hbr.org/2010/12/the-big-idea-the-case-for-professional-boards/ar/1#

M@n@gement in Times of Economic Crisis: Insights into Organizational Ambidexterity

Authors:Achim Schmitt, Gilbert Probst, and Michael Tushman
Publication:M@n@gement 13, no. 3 (2010)
Abstract

We constantly hear of the increasing complexity of our fast-paced, globalized world, and those who did not survive the succession of crises of the last decade could certainly attest to the difficulties of strategy making in such circumstances. Of course, our reflex when confronted with fear of the future is often to run for cover, particularly if management can get away with downsizing while blaming the crisis. But of course, this only fulfils the short-term objectives of strategy. If an organization favors short-term exploitation when crisis strikes, what will become of it in the longer term? By the same token, allocating resources to long-term exploration might incur the risk of precipitating the fall.

Egalitarianism and International Investment

Authors:Jordan I. Siegel, Amir N. Licht, and Shalom H. Schwartz
Publication:Journal of Financial Economics (forthcoming).
Abstract

This study identifies the effect of a key cultural dimension—egalitarianism—on a set of international investment outcomes. Egalitarianism expresses a society's cultural orientation with respect to intolerance for abuses of market and political power. We show egalitarianism to be based on exogenous factors including social fractionalization, religion, and war experience. Controlling for a large set of competing explanations, we find a robust influence of egalitarianism distance on cross-border investment flows of equity, debt, and mergers and acquisitions. An informal cultural institution largely determined a century or more ago, egalitarianism influences international investment via an associated set of consistent policy choices made in recent years. But even after controlling for these associated policy choices, egalitarianism continues to exercise a direct effect on cross-border investment flows, likely through its direct influence on managers' daily business conduct.

Download the paper: http://www.people.hbs.edu/jsiegel/SiegelLichtSchwartz_EII_20110107.pdf

Working Papers

Sustainable Cities: Oxymoron or the Shape of the Future?

Authors:Annissa Alusi, Robert G. Eccles, Amy C. Edmondson, and Tiona Zuzul
Abstract

Two trends are likely to define the 21st century: threats to the sustainability of the natural environment and dramatic increases in urbanization. This paper reviews the goals, business models, and partnerships involved in eight early "ecocity" projects to begin to identify success factors in this emerging industry. Ecocities, for the most part, are viewed as a means of mitigating threats to the natural environment while creating urban living capacity by combining principles of green building with the use of information and communication technologies (ICT) to better manage complex urban systems.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-062.pdf

Cases & Course Materials

Zespri

Jose B. Alvarez and Mary Shelman
Harvard Business School Case 511-001

Grower-owned Zespri is the sole exporter of New Zealand grown kiwifruit outside of Australia and New Zealand. Facing growing international competition, Zespri invested in consumer branding and innovation, which has led to new types of kiwifruit that taste better and are protected with patents. Consumer response has been positive and Zespri has begun to grow kiwifruit outside of New Zealand in order to have the product on retail shelves year round. Is this the right strategy for the future?

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511001-PDF-ENG

Asian Agri and the Future of Palm Oil

David E. Bell and Natalie Kindred
Harvard Business School Case 511-015

For Asian Agri and other Indonesian palm oil producers, the future promised rising demand from fast-growing Asian populations, but also intensifying criticism from environmental groups. With the highest yield and lowest production cost of any edible oil, palm oil constituted an abundant, inexpensive source of food for Asian and, to a lesser extent, international markets. Its production had soared from 1970 to 2010, sparking concern from environmentalists over the conversion of high-value conservation land in Malaysia and Indonesia (where nearly 90% of palm oil was produced) into palm oil plantations. Critics had intensified their campaigns in recent years, urging—at times successfully—packaged food makers and investors to boycott palm oil suppliers accused of environmental mismanagement. While noting that some accusations were unjustified, palm oil producers argued the industry was making strides towards greater sustainability and cited the unique advantages of palm oil: it was free of unhealthy trans fats, for example, and required less land to produce more oil than any known substitute. Asian Agri, an established Indonesian palm oil grower and exporter, had thus far avoided public scrutiny. The company was a key source of employment in many rural communities, had extensive experience negotiating the complex Indonesian regulatory environment, and was moving to certify its operations according to industry-set sustainability guidelines. In 2010, Asian Agri appeared well positioned to capitalize on the growing palm oil market, but the broad-strokes vilification of the palm oil industry was a source of serious concern. In the face of great uncertainty, the management team needed to devise a strategy for the future.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511015-PDF-ENG

Malaysia: People First?

Diego Comin and John Abraham
Harvard Business School Case 710-033

On March 30, 2010, Prime Minister Najib Razak presented his new economic model (NEM) for Malaysia. With the goal of raising per capita income to over $15,000 by 2020 from the current level of $6,634, the plan included measures to improve human capital, reduce migration, and privatize inefficient government linked corporations (GLCs). However, the most controversial part of the NEM was the dismantling of the new economic policy (NEP), an affirmative action program for native Malays that had alleviated racial tensions and reduced inter-racial income inequality over the previous 40 years though, some argued, at the cost of fostering corruption.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/710033-PDF-ENG

Growing Pains at Stroz Friedberg

David A. Garvin and Carin-Isabel Knoop
Harvard Business School Case 311-008

In late spring 2009, Stroz Friedberg co-presidents Edward Stroz and Eric Friedberg had to set growth targets for 2010. The leading global consulting firm they had built specialized in managing digital risk and uncovering digital evidence and had grown very rapidly. With the firm's CFO, they believed that the firm could grow from $58 million to $72 million, a growth rate of 27% over the preceding year. However, the firm's 11 offices had submitted first draft FY 2010 plans that together added up to firm-wide revenues of only $53 million, a growth rate of negative 10.2%. The preceding years of rapid growth had been successful but challenging, and a thorough review of the firm's culture, systems, structure, and processes in late 2008 had resulted in a significant set of changes to which the organization was still adjusting. Stroz and Friedberg wondered whether to push for continued, aggressive growth.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/311008-PDF-ENG

The National Geographic Society

David A. Garvin and Carin-Isabel Knoop
Harvard Business School Case 311-002

In January 2010, John Fahey, president, CEO, and chairman of the board of trustees' executive committee of the Washington, D.C.-based National Geographic Society (NGS), must decide how best to organize the 121-year old mission-driven organization for a world of accelerating digital convergence and decreasing magazine sales. Historically a proponent of evolutionary change, he is considering a radical move: create a senior management position responsible for e-commerce to coordinate web-based offerings and outreach across the Society's various departments, transition NGS from its many disparate and independent direct mail efforts to a more integrated and strategic e-commerce strategy, and leverage the NGS relationship with its members—currently defined as magazine subscribers, since a subscription comes with Society membership. Putting the final touches on the position and its reporting arrangements has led to significant debate within the organization, and Fahey is torn about how to proceed.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/311002-PDF-ENG

Formosa Plastics Group: Business Continuity Forever

Li Jin, Joseph P. H. Fan, and Winnie S. C. Leung
Harvard Business School Case 210-026

Wang Yung-ching, legendary Taiwanese businessman and philanthropist, passed away in 2008. He left behind an estate worth U.S. $5.5 billion but did not leave a will. The case discusses the potential motivation for Wang and uses it to study succession planning for family businesses.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/210026-PDF-ENG

Using Regression Analysis to Estimate Time Equations

F. Asis Martinez-Jerez and Ariel Andres Blumenkranc
Harvard Business School Note 111-001

This note presents a simple way to estimate time equations using regression analysis in Excel. The note quickly outlines regression analysis, then presents a real-life case example from the natural gas industry that students can use to gain experience developing and interpreting the results of time equations.

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http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/111001-PDF-ENG

Assessing a Company's Future Financial Health

Thomas R. Piper
Harvard Business School Note 911-412

The case provides students with (1) an understanding of the essence of long-term financial health; (2) familiarity with the calculation and meaning of various financial ratios; and (3) an understanding of the influence of a company's operating and competitive characteristics on its investment in various type assets, on the profitability of these investments, and on the financial structure of its balance sheet. The case also allows a discussion of (1) the incomplete and lagging nature of financial measures; (2) the influence of financial measures on behavior; and (3) the reality that financial analysis often results in better, more focused questions to be asked of management, not conclusive answers.

Purchase this note:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/911412-PDF-ENG

Zynga

Mikołaj Jan Piskorski and David Chen
Harvard Business School Case 710-464

In January 2010 Mark Pincus is deciding how to double the number of Zynga games' players to 500 million without sacrificing profitability. These ambitious growth plans required changes to product, corporate strategy, and customer acquisition and retention. With regard to product Pincus needed to decide to invest in evolving the successful games or develop new games. With regard to corporate strategy, Pincus had to choose whether each game should compete on its own, or force every game to build functionalities that support other Zynga games too. Finally, to ensure customer acquisition and retention Pincus faced the choice between deepening commitment to Facebook or developing its own distribution channels.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/710464-PDF-ENG

CME Group

Forest Reinhardt and James Weber
Harvard Business School Case 711-005

The case describes CME Group, the world's largest commodities exchange, futures and options on futures contracts, history, regulation, and the strategic choices the company faced. CME Group was formed from the oldest and most well-known exchanges in the world. Traders on the exchange bought and sold contracts in order to hedge risk or speculate on future price trends. In recent decades trading had undergone significant growth. From its roots in agricultural commodities, with trading typically occurring in face-to-face transactions in pits on exchange floors, CME introduced new hedging products in metals, energy, and finance, and electronic trading, which brought new market participants. Some of these new participants, such as pension funds, were significantly larger and had different strategic agendas than the traditional agricultural-related participants. The case raises the question of whether increased speculation was helping or hurting the exchange or its participants. In addition, the financial crisis of 2007 and 2008 was driving new regulation in the industry, which brought new challenges and opportunities to CME.

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http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/711005-PDF-ENG

Testing Coleman's Social-Norm Enforcement Mechanism: Evidence from Wikipedia

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Published:January 20, 2011
Paper Released:December 2010
Authors:Mikolaj J. Piskorski and Andreea Gorbatai

Executive Summary:

Harvard Business School professor Mikolaj Jan Piskorski and doctoral candidate Andreea Gorbatai look to the editing process on Wikipedia to test and validate the well-accepted (but little-verified) theory of sociologist James Coleman that social norm violations decline as network density increases. Support for Coleman's mechanism would alert us to the importance of punishments for norm violations and rewards for such punishments, and thus help us to design social systems in which norms are observed.

Key concepts include:
  • Coleman argued that high-density networks provide an opportunity structure within which third parties can compensate norm enforcers for the expense of chastising norm violators. Such payments encourage actors to punish those who violate norms, which in turn reduce the incidence of norm violation.
  • Despite ubiquitous citations of Coleman's explanation, little empirical work has tested it convincingly.
  • The researchers identified the improper use of the revert command by Wikipedia contributors-by which users can quickly knock out text they don't agree with and revert it back to a prior state-as a norm violation.
  • The research found substantial support for the theory, suggesting that increasing network density to elicit norm compliance is justified.
  • On Wikipedia, norm violations, punishments for such violations, and rewards for those who punish violators are all highly visible. Replicating these conditions in the design of a social system is critical; otherwise, norm violations will remain undetected and therefore unpunished.

Abstract

Since Durkheim, sociologists have believed that dense network structures lead to fewer norm violations. Coleman (1990) proposed one mechanism generating this relationship and argued that dense networks provide an opportunity structure to reward those who punish norm violators, leading to more frequent punishment and in turn fewer norm violations. Despite ubiquitous scholarly references to Coleman's theory, little empirical work has directly tested it in large-scale natural settings with longitudinal data. We undertake such a test using records of norm violations during the editing process on Wikipedia, the largest user-generated on-line encyclopedia. These data allow us to track all three elements required to test Coleman's mechanism: norm violations, punishments for such violations, and rewards for those who punish violations. The results are broadly consistent with Coleman's mechanism.

Paper Information


Inside the Learning Curve: Customer-, Domain-, and Technology-Specific Learning in Outsourced Radiological Services

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Published:January 21, 2011
Paper Released:December 2010
Authors:Jonathan R. Clark, Robert S. Huckman, and and Bradley R. Staats

Executive Summary:

In farming out work to an external service provider, companies often count on volume-based learning--the idea that outsourced workers will build experience and improve their productivity if there is a large volume of work for them to do, and that the bigger the volume, the more productive and efficient they'll eventually become. However, there are several factors that challenge that education process. This paper explores whether and how repetition can breed competence in a business setting, using data from a provider of outsourced radiological services. Research was conducted by Harvard Business School professor Robert S. Huckman, Jonathan R. Clark (HBS PhD 2010) of Pennsylvania State University, and Bradley R. Staats (HBS MBA 2002, DBA 2009) of the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill. Key concepts include:

  • In addition to technical aspects of the task, volume-based learning depends on the interpersonal interactions between the individual completing the task and the customer.
  • The rate at which a worker learns depends independently on the customer, knowledge domain, and technology within which the worker accumulates volume-based experience. Workers learn faster from completing an individual task for a specific customer than they do from completing multiple tasks for multiple customers.
  • Spreading a worker's experience over multiple customers may hinder the learning process, particularly with respect to the needs of specific customers.

Abstract

We explore the specificity of volume-based learning in an outsourced setting. When producing a unit of output, the content of the knowledge gained can vary dramatically from one unit to the next. This suggests that while aggregate experience in learning-by-doing is generally valuable, not all prior experience has an equal impact on performance. To examine these differences we introduce a framework to unpack the multiple dimensions of experience that exist within one unit of work. We then empirically examine the customer-, domain-, and technology-specificity of learning. Our empirical setting is the context of outsourced radiological services where individual doctors at an outsourcing firm complete radiological reads for hospital customers. We find that customer-, domain-, and technology-specific experience-as compared to other experience-leads to improved productivity. We discuss the implications of our results for the study of learning and experience, as well as for outsourcers and the firms that use their services.

Paper Information

HBS Cases: Terror at the Taj

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Published:January 24, 2011
Author:Julia Hanna

On November 26, 2008, 175 people died in Mumbai, India, when 10 terrorists simultaneously struck sites. Of the five locations—all well-known landmarks—the beautiful domes of the hotel known as the Taj Mahal Palace and Tower would become most closely associated with the horrific attacks in the world's collective conscience.

A new multimedia case by HBS professor Rohit Deshpandé offers a flip side to the nightmarish scenes that unfolded in real time on television screens around the globe. Produced in collaboration with Ruth Page and David Habeeb of the HBS Educational Technology Group, "Terror at the Taj Bombay: Customer-Centric Leadership" documents the bravery and resourcefulness shown by rank-and-file employees during the siege. (The case is not yet available to the public.)

Video interviews with hotel staff and senior executives, combined with security footage of the attack, create a documentary-like account of events that took place over the course of 59 hours. The case also covers the hotel's history, its approach to training employees, the "guest is God" philosophy inherent in Indian culture, and the question of how the hotel will recover after the attacks.

Underlying this framework is a central conundrum: Why did the Taj employees stay at their posts, jeopardizing their safety in order to save hotel guests? And is this level of loyalty and dedication something that can be replicated and scaled elsewhere?

"Not even the senior managers could explain the behavior of these employees," says Deshpandé. "In the interview, the vice chairman of the company says that they knew all the back exits—the natural human instinct would be to flee. These are people who instinctively did the right thing. And in the process, some of them, unfortunately, gave their lives to save guests." A dozen employees died.

Most difficult case

Deshpandé, a native of Bombay (now Mumbai), says it took a full week to conduct the interviews. "This is the hardest case I've ever worked on. One reason is that I had no conception of what it would be like to have people confront the trauma again. We objectify it, keep emotion at a distance, but after 15 minutes of questions with a video camera in a darkened room, there are deeper, more personal reflections of what happened. It was really, really hard.

"The other thing is that I grew up there. So the Taj is part of my memories, too. As one of the interview subjects said, the Taj is their Taj, meaning anyone who has ever walked through its doors. It's a place that means many things to many people."

In one interview, Taj general manager Karambir Singh Kang describes his father, a military man, telling him that his job is like being the captain of a ship. "I think that's the way everyone else felt, too," says Kang. "A sense of loyalty to the hotel, a sense of responsibility to the guests." Several hours into the siege, Kang's wife and two young sons died in a fire that swept through their apartment on the hotel's top floor. Even after receiving the news, he insisted on staying at his post to help direct a response to the ongoing attack. (The battle for control at the Taj would continue a full two days after other locations had been secured.)

Nothing in the employees' training could have prepared them for such an unprecedented situation, Deshpandé says. Yet further interviews and text documents from the case provide background on the unique culture of Tata Sons, the Taj's parent company, while also revealing the exacting process for selecting, training, and rewarding Taj employees for their work.

Mandate to delight

Awards are given for longer terms of service, for example, with Group Chairman Ratan Tata (HBS AMP 71, 1975) personally recognizing those who have served 10 to 35 years and more. Employees who have demonstrated outstanding service are selected for inclusion in the Managing Directors Club and recognized across the organization.

Such incentives aren't so unusual, of course. But interviews with senior management demonstrate how seriously the task of building a customer-centric culture and value system is taken at the Taj and its parent company, Indian Hotels.

"Every time they interact with a guest they should look for an opportunity to delight him," says H.N. Srinivas, senior vice president of human resources. During a 24-hour stay, a guest will have an average of 40 to 42 contacts with employees. "We've mapped it," he explains.

When it comes to selecting employees, Indian Hotels CEO Raymond N. Bickson describes how he first looks for "nice people who are not afraid of serving people." He can teach them to be a bellman, a waiter, or a desk clerk, he continues. "But I can't teach them to be nice. I can't teach that spirit of ownership."

"In India and the developing world, there's a much more paternalistic equation between employer and employee," says Ratan Tata, chairman of Tata Sons. "I think that creates a kinship." Every employee donates a small portion of their salary to a pool that can be drawn on in the event a colleague suffers an accident or other significant personal setback.

To date, Deshpandé has taught the case in the School's Owner/President Management Executive Education program; he expects it to be used more widely, particularly since it can also be taught as an example of managing the postcrisis recovery of a flagship corporate brand.

No clear answer

The question of why the Taj employees demonstrated such loyalty elicited a variety of responses from students, Deshpandé says.

"For example, some suggested that it has to do with governance of the Tatas; two-thirds of their profits are donated to charitable causes, so the employees feel that they are working for a higher good." But the IT firm Tata Consultancy Services has had many of the same difficulties with employee retention that other Indian IT firms experience. "In that case, the loyalty might be more to self rather than to the organization," he says.

A definitive answer to the question of why the Taj employees behaved as they did may not be possible; but managers who read and view the case will likely come away with a clearer sense of what it takes to build a particular culture and value system and how to recruit, train, and reward employees in nonmonetary ways.

"It's all of those very specific things that build a customer-centric culture in an organization," Deshpandé says. "This example far exceeds anything I've seen before."

Julia Hanna is associate editor of the HBS Alumni Bulletin.

First Look: Jan. 25

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According to new research, there is a dark side to being creative. Researchers Francesca Gino (Harvard Business School) and Dan Ariely (Duke) find evidence for their hypothesis that a creative personality--the ability to think outside the box--can lead to unethical behavior. Their studies showed that dispositional creativity is a better predictor of unethical behavior than intelligence; that participants primed to think creatively were more likely to behave dishonestly because of their creativity motivation; and that creative types showed greater ability to justify their dishonest behavior. "The results provide evidence for an association between creativity and dishonesty, thus highlighting a dark side of creativity," according to Gino and Ariely.

In other new publications:

Michael I. Norton (HBS) and Debora V. Thompson (Georgetown) explore the social benefits of people who buy products with too many features. Writing in a forthcoming issue of Journal of Marketing Research, the authors explain that even though "feature-rich" cars, TVs, and other products might be more difficult to use, we buy them to raise our status in the eyes of others.

A new note by HBS professor emeritus Ray A. Goldberg and research associate Matthew Preble looks behind agricultural cooperatives, explaining how they are organized, financed, and the ways in which they partner with each other and other players in the food system.

— Sean Silverthorne

Publications

The Strategic Use of Brand Biographies

Authors:Jill Avery, Neeru Paharia, Anat Keinan, and Juliet Schor
Publication:Research in Consumer Behavior (forthcoming)
Abstract

We introduce the concept of a brand biography to describe an emerging trend in branding in which firms author a dynamic, historical account of the events that have shaped the brand over time. Using a particular type of brand biography, "the underdog," we empirically show how managers can strategically use brand biographies in brand positioning, in this case to mitigate the curse of success. As brands grow and become successful, they are often marked by the negative stigma associated with size and power, which elicits anticorporate sentiment from consumers. An underdog brand biography can be strategically wielded to prevent or offset anticorporate backlash stemming from consumers' negative perceptions of firms' size and/or market power.

Benchmarks as Limits to Arbitrage: Understanding the Low-Volatility Anomaly

Authors:Malcolm Baker, Brendan Bradley, and Jeffrey Wurgler
Publication:Financial Analysts Journal 67, no. 1 (January-February 2011)
Abstract

Contrary to basic finance principles, high-beta and high-volatility stocks have long underperformed low-beta and low-volatility stocks. This anomaly may be partly explained by the fact that the typical institutional investor's mandate to beat a fixed benchmark discourages arbitrage activity in both high-alpha, low-beta stocks and low-alpha, high-beta stocks.

An Empirical Analysis of Innovation Contests: Strategic Incentives, Problem Uncertainty and Independent Experimentation along Parallel Paths

Authors:Kevin J. Boudreau, Nicola Lacetera, and Karim R. Lakhani
Publication:Management Science (forthcoming)
Abstract

Contests are a historically important and increasingly popular mechanism for encouraging innovation. A central concern in designing innovation contests is how many competitors to admit. Using a unique data set of 9,661 software contests, we provide evidence of two coexisting and opposing forces that operate when the number of competitors increases. Greater rivalry reduces the incentives of all competitors in a contest to exert effort and make investments. At the same time, adding competitors increases the likelihood that at least one competitor will find an extreme-value solution. We show that the effort-reducing effect of greater rivalry dominates for less uncertain problems whereas the effect on the extreme value prevails for more uncertain problems. Adding competitors thus systematically increases overall contest performance for high-uncertainty problems. We also find that higher uncertainty reduces the negative effect of added competitors on incentives. Thus uncertainty and the nature of the problem should be explicitly considered in the design of innovation tournaments. We explore the implications of our findings for the theory and practice of innovation contests.

The Intensive Margin of Technology Adoption

Author:Diego A. Comin
Publication:In Handbook of Economic Growth, edited by Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf. Elsevier, forthcoming
Abstract

We present a tractable model for analyzing the relationship between economic growth and the intensive and extensive margins of technology adoption. The "extensive" margin refers to the timing of a country's adoption of a new technology; the "intensive" margin refers to how many units are adopted (for a given size economy). At the aggregate level, our model is isomorphic to a neoclassical growth model, while at the microeconomic level it features adoption of firms at the extensive and the intensive margin. Based on a data set of 15 technologies and 166 countries our estimations of the model yield four main findings: (1) there are large cross-country differences in the intensive margin of adoption; (2) differences in the intensive margin vary substantially across technologies; (3) the cross-country dispersion of adoption lags has declined over time while the cross-country dispersion in the intensive margin has not; and (4) the cross-country variation in the intensive margin of adoption accounts

New Sources in Living Kidney Donation

Authors:Ruthanne L. Hanto, Alvin E. Roth, M. Utku Ünver, and Francis L. Delmonico
Publication:Chap. 8 in Kidney Transplantation: A Guide to the Care of Transplant Recipients, edited by D. McKay and S. Steinberg, 103-17. Springer, 2010

An abstract is not available at this time.

Publisher's Link: http://www.springer.com/medicine/nephrology/book/978-1-4419-1689-1

How to Do Well and Do Good

Author:Rosabeth M. Kanter
Publication:MIT Sloan Management Review 51, no. 2 (September 2010)

An abstract is not available at this time.

Read the article: http://sloanreview.mit.edu/the-magazine/articles/2010/fall/52118/how-to-do-well-and-do-good/

Corporate Governance When Founders Are Directors

Authors:Feng Li and Suraj Srinivasan
Publication:Journal of Financial Economics (forthcoming)
Abstract

We examine CEO compensation, CEO retention policies, and M&A decisions in firms where founders serve as a director with a non-founder CEO (founder-director firms). We find that founder-director firms offer a different mix of incentives to their CEOs than other firms. Pay for performance sensitivity for non-founder CEOs in founder-director firms is higher and the level of pay is lower than that of other CEOs. CEO turnover sensitivity to firm performance is also significantly higher in founder-director firms compared to non-founder firms. Overall, the evidence suggests that boards with founder-directors provide more high powered incentives in the form of pay and retention policies than the average U.S. board. Stock returns around M&A announcements and board attendance are also higher in founder-director firms compared to non-founder firms.

Read the paper: http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1663905

Error's Lessons: The Importance of Work Context in Organizational Learning from Error

Authors:Lucy H. MacPhail and Amy C. Edmondson
Publication:In Errors in Organizations, edited by D. Hoffman and M. Frese. Routledge, forthcoming

An abstract is not available at this time.

Publisher's Link: http://www.remote-sensing.routledge.com/books/details/9780805862911/

The Social Utility of Feature Creep

Authors:Debora V. Thompson and Michael I. Norton
Publication:Journal of Marketing Research (forthcoming)
Abstract

Previous research shows that consumers frequently choose products with too many features that they later find difficult to use. Our research shows that this seemingly suboptimal behavior may in fact confer benefits when factoring in the social context of consumption. Our studies demonstrate that choosing products with more capabilities (i.e., feature-rich products) provides social utility over and above inferences of wealth, signaling consumers' technological skills and openness to new experiences, and that consumers' beliefs about the social utility of feature-rich products are predictive of their choices of such products. Further, we examine when impression management concerns increase consumers' likelihood of choosing feature-rich products. We find that public choices in which participants display their preferences to others encourage feature-seeking behavior, but that the anticipation of having to use a product in front of others provides an incentive to avoid additional features.

Overconfidence by Bayesian Rational Agents

Authors:Eric J. Van den Steen
Publication:Management Science (forthcoming)
Abstract

This paper derives two mechanisms through which Bayesian-rational individuals with differing priors will tend to be relatively overconfident about their estimates and predictions, in the sense of overestimating the precision of these estimates. The intuition behind one mechanism is slightly ironic: in trying to update optimally, Bayesian agents overweight information of which they overestimate the precision and underweight in the opposite case. This causes overall an overestimation of the precision of the final estimate, which tends to increase as agents get more data.

Working Papers

The Dark Side of Creativity: Original Thinkers Can Be More Dishonest

Authors:Francesca Gino and Dan Ariely
Abstract

Creativity is a common aspiration for individuals, organizations, and societies. Here, however, we test whether creativity increases dishonesty. We propose that a creative personality and creativity primes promote individuals' motivation to think outside the box and that this increased motivation leads to unethical behavior. In four studies, we show that participants with creative personalities who scored high on a test measuring divergent thinking tended to cheat more (Study 1); that dispositional creativity is a better predictor of unethical behavior than intelligence (Study 2); and that participants who were primed to think creatively were more likely to behave dishonestly because of their creativity motivation (Study 3) and greater ability to justify their dishonest behavior (Study 4). Finally, a field study constructively replicates these effects and demonstrates that individuals who work in more creative positions are also more morally flexible (Study 5). The results provide evidence for an association between creativity and dishonesty, thus highlighting a dark side of creativity.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-064.pdf

Issuer Quality and Corporate Bond Returns

Authors:Robin Greenwood and Samuel G. Hanson
Abstract

Changes in the pricing of credit risk disproportionately affect the debt financing costs faced by low credit quality firms. As a result, time-series variation in the average quality of debt issuers may be useful for forecasting excess corporate bond returns. We show that when issuance comes disproportionately from lower quality borrowers, future excess returns on high yield and investment grade bonds are low and often significantly negative. The degree of predictability is large in both economic and statistical terms, with univariate R2 statistics as high as 30% at a 3-year horizon. The results are difficult to reconcile with integrated-markets models in which the rationally determined price of risk fluctuates in a countercyclical fashion. The results can be partially explained by models in which shocks to intermediary capital or agency problems drive variation in required returns. Finally, we consider models in which investor over-extrapolation plays a role and find some evidence in favor of these models.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-065.pdf

and Cynicism in Negotiations and Other Competitive Contexts

Authors:Chia-Jung Tsay, Lisa L. Shu, and Max H. Bazerman
Abstract

A wealth of literature documents how the common failure to think about the decisions of others contributes to suboptimal outcomes. Yet sometimes, an excess of cynicism appears to lead us to over-think the actions of others and make negative attributions about their motivations without sufficient cause. In the process, we may miss opportunities that greater trust might capture. We review the research about when people think too little and when they think too much about the decisions of others, as contrasted with rational behavior. We also discuss the antecedents and consequences of these naïve and cynical errors, as well as some potential strategies to buffer against their effects and achieve better outcomes in competitive contexts.

Download the paper: http://www.hbs.edu/research/pdf/11-066.pdf

Cases & Course Materials

FreshTec: Revolutionizing Fresh Produce

Jose B. Alvarez and Ryan Johnson
Harvard Business School Case 511-059

Entrepreneurial produce packaging firm, which has developed a disruptive technology that keeps fresh produce and flowers fresh for significantly longer, faces strategic growth decisions. CEO Bob Wright must decide how best to bring his company's unique packaging product to market. The technology holds promise after a long development phase, but the packaging is more expensive, and Wright and his team must convince the industry stakeholders of the packaging's value.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511059-PDF-ENG

The Creative Industries: Managing and Marketing Talent

Anita Elberse
Harvard Business School Module Note 509-078

This module note examines issues concerning the management and marketing of talent in the creative industries. It describes the characteristics of the market for creative talent; discusses how individual talent creates and captures value; and explores how professional firms can best recruit, develop, manage, and market creative talent.

Purchase this module note:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/509078-PDF-ENG

The Creative Industries: Managing Products and Product Portfolios

Anita Elberse
Harvard Business School Module Note 509-077

This module note examines the way in which professional content producers in the creative industries approach product and product portfolio management and explores the underlying reasons for their strategies.

Purchase this module note:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/509077-PDF-ENG

Agricultural Cooperatives: Origins, Structure, Financing, and Partnerships

Ray A. Goldberg and Matthew Preble
Harvard Business School Note 911-410

This technical note explains how agricultural cooperatives are structured and financed, as well as how they form partnerships with one another and other elements of the food system.

Purchase this note:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/911410-PDF-ENG

Building a Developmental Culture: The Birth of Deloitte University

Boris Groysberg, Maureen Gibbons, and Joshua Bronstein
Harvard Business School Case 411-059

It is October 2009 and Barry Salzberg, CEO of Deloitte LLP, has just returned from the groundbreaking of Deloitte University. When completed, Deloitte University would be a world class learning and development center owned by, and for the exclusive use by the employees of, Deloitte. Deloitte spent a significant amount of time and money on the training and development of its employees. Historically, this training had taken place at hotels and conference centers not affiliated with Deloitte. The idea for the construction of a special-purpose, Deloitte-owned learning facility had been championed by Salzberg. He believed Deloitte University would allow the firm to "instill our values in our people through learning and development," which he thought was critical to Deloitte's long-term success. Salzberg had won over the necessary majority of the partners, but not all of them supported the University concept. As he thought about the future of this new facility, how could he ensure it would be successful?

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/411059-PDF-ENG

The Smart Grid

Rebecca Henderson, Noel Maurer, and Catherine Ross
Harvard Business School Case 310-072

The development of the smart grid-the integration of traditional elements of energy transmission and delivery with information technology-heralds a new era in the power industry. Many new business opportunities will be created as the smart grid gets developed. What strategies should Cisco employ to become a leader in this industry? What obstacles and challenges must Cisco overcome to compete successfully in this new industry?

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/310072-PDF-ENG

The Global Sight Network Initiative

Regina E. Herzlinger
Harvard Business School Case 311-034

How to replicate a 'one of' social entrepreneurship effort: To cure blindness, Seva took the Aravind Eye Hospital and scaled it up to 100 hospitals globally.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/311034-PDF-ENG

Whose Money Is It Anyway? (A)

V. G. Narayanan, Richard G. Hamermesh, and Rachel Gordon
Harvard Business School Case 810-008

The Brigham and Women's Physician's Organization (BWPO) and its corporate parent disagree over who has jurisdiction over significant legacy funds. Are they controlled by the BWPO or do they belong to BWPO's corporate parent? The BWPO and its corporate parent must negotiate who has control of the funds, which impacts how the funds may be used.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/810008-PDF-ENG

Purchase this Supplement (B):
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/810013-PDF-ENG

Purchase this Supplement (C):
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/810031-PDF-ENG

Toyota Recalls (A): Hitting the Skids

John A. Quelch, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Ryan Johnson
Harvard Business School Case 511-016

In the fall of 2009, Toyota Motor Corporation, once revered for its commitment to quality and reliability, faced a highly publicized series of recalls in the U.S. representing approximately a year's worth of sales in one of its most important markets. While the first Toyota recall was met with widespread disbelief but continuing support for the brand, subsequent revelations and recalls tested the brand's resilience in the U.S. The firm's initial public response to the problems—a mixture of silence from top executives and vague, misleading public statements—frustrated U.S. government officials and the public. Not until weeks after the news first broke did Toyota organize a clear message around its commitment to return to quality. In late February 2010 Toyota President Akio Toyoda reluctantly accepts an invitation to testify to the U.S. Congress, 148 days after the first recall announcement. He has to decide what to say.

Purchase this case:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511016-PDF-ENG

Toyota Recalls (B): Mr. Toyoda Goes to Washington

John A. Quelch, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Ryan Johnson
Harvard Business School Supplement 511-041

Case describes the testimony to the U.S. Congress of the Toyota CEO and the head of its U.S. motor sales.

Purchase this supplement:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511041-PDF-ENG

Toyota Recalls (C): Bumpy Road Ahead

John A. Quelch, Carin-Isabel Knoop, and Ryan Johnson
Harvard Business School Supplement 511-042

Between February and July 2010, Toyota sales recover thanks to the use of extensive PR and sales incentives. Yet recalls continue. Can Toyota stem the tide and correct its organizational flaws to address the underlying issues?

Purchase this supplement:
http://cb.hbsp.harvard.edu/cb/product/511042-PDF-ENG

Conveniently Upset: Avoiding Altruism by Distorting Beliefs about Others

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Published:January 26, 2011
Paper Released:December 2010
Authors:Rafael Di Tella and Ricardo Pérez-Truglia

Executive Summary:

This paper explores the idea that people who can take advantage of a particular situation will tend to believe that others would choose to take advantage of the same situation if given the chance-thus helping to justify the decision to act selfishly. In their research, Harvard Business School professor Rafael Di Tella and Harvard PhD student Ricardo Pérez-Truglia test their hypothesis on a group of well-heeled Argentinean college students, using a modified version of the "dictator game" in which both the "dictators" and the "recipients" are given the chance to make a selfish choice. Key concepts include:

  • The researchers conducted a modified dictator game in which the "dictator" player could take any percentage of tokens from the "recipient" player (à la taxation), but the recipient player could reduce the overall size of the pie in exchange for a personal side payment (à la hiding economic activities from the authorities).
  • In general, the dictators who chose to take a large number of tokens from the recipients reported believing that the recipients would choose to take the side payment-that is, to make a selfish choice.
  • The results of the experiment support the idea that people often avoid altruistic actions by letting themselves believe that others are selfish, too.

Abstract

In this paper we present the results from a "corruption game" (a dictator game modified so that the second player can accept a side payment that reduces the overall size of the pie). Dictators (silently) treated to have the possibility of taking a larger proportion of the recipient's tokens, take more of them. They were also more likely to report believing that the recipient would accept a low price in exchange for a side payment; and selected larger numbers as their best guess of the likely proportion of recipients acting "unfairly". The results favor the hypothesis that people avoid altruistic actions by distorting beliefs about others.

Paper Information

A Brief Postwar History of U.S. Consumer Finance

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Published:January 27, 2011
Paper Released:December 2010
Authors:Andrea Ryan, Gunnar Trumbull, and and Peter Tufano

Executive Summary:

The growth of the consumer finance sector after World War II provided a bevy of new financial options for Americans. These options led to a "do-it-yourself" approach to consumer finance, and an increase in household risk taking. In this paper, Harvard Business School professors Gunnar Trumbull and Peter Tufano, along with former HBS research associate Andrea Ryan, discuss the major themes that dominated the expansive postwar sector, including some of the factors that set the stage for the recent subprime mortgage crisis. Key concepts include:

  • The authors identify four major consumer finance trends from the past 65 years: an increase in the number of available financial options including innovations; greater access to those options for more Americans; a trend toward a do-it-yourself approach in consumer financial services; and a resultant increase in household risk taking.
  • The type of debt households carry has changed dramatically over the past several decades. The share of household financial liabilities represented by mortgages increased from 59 percent in 1950 to 73 percent in 2008, while the share represented by consumer debt fell from 31 percent to 18 percent.

Abstract

This article describes the consumer finance sector in the U.S. since World War II. We first define the sector in terms of the functions delivered by firms (payments, savings/investing, borrowing, managing risk, and providing advice). We provide time series evidence on major trends in consumption, savings, and borrowing. Examining consumer decisions, changes in regulation, and business practices, we identify four major themes that characterize the sector: (1) innovation that increased the choices available to consumers; (2) enhanced access in the form of broadening consumer participation in financial activities; (3) do-it-yourself consumer finance, which allowed and forced consumers to take greater responsibility for their own financial lives; and (4) the resultant increase in household risk taking.

Paper Information

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